{"product_id":"105399","title":"A Collapsing World and Demography ","description":"\u003ccenter\u003e\u003cdiv style=\"text-align:center\"\u003e\u003cimg src=\"https:\/\/tmgdisk01.cafe24.com\/images\/vs\/4172\/sv\/WQtVZLOiYGtSPoY9wL8BCx.png?v=1764959163\" style=\"max-width:100%;max-height:10px\"\u003e\u003c\/div\u003e\u003c\/center\u003e\n\u003ccenter\u003e\u003ctable\u003e\u003ctr\u003e\u003ctd style=\"height:10px\"\u003e\u003c\/td\u003e\u003c\/tr\u003e\u003c\/table\u003e\u003c\/center\u003e\n\u003ccenter\u003e\u003ctable\u003e\u003ctr\u003e\u003ctd style=\"height:10px\"\u003e\u003c\/td\u003e\u003c\/tr\u003e\u003c\/table\u003e\u003c\/center\u003e\n\u003ccenter\u003e\n\n\u003cdiv style=\"width:95%\"\u003e\n\n\u003cdiv style=\"text-align:center;font-size:30px;font-weight:bolder;line-height:1.6em\"\u003e A Collapsing World and Demography \u003c\/div\u003e\n\n\u003ccenter\u003e\u003ctable\u003e\u003ctr\u003e\u003ctd style=\"height:10px\"\u003e\u003c\/td\u003e\u003c\/tr\u003e\u003c\/table\u003e\u003c\/center\u003e\n\n\u003ccenter\u003e\u003ctable\u003e\u003ctr\u003e\u003ctd style=\"height:10px\"\u003e\u003c\/td\u003e\u003c\/tr\u003e\u003c\/table\u003e\u003c\/center\u003e\n\n\u003ccenter\u003e\u003ctable\u003e\u003ctr\u003e\u003ctd style=\"height:10px\"\u003e\u003c\/td\u003e\u003c\/tr\u003e\u003c\/table\u003e\u003c\/center\u003e\n\n\u003ccenter\u003e\u003ctable\u003e\u003ctr\u003e\u003ctd style=\"height:10px\"\u003e\u003c\/td\u003e\u003c\/tr\u003e\u003c\/table\u003e\u003c\/center\u003e\n\n\u003cdiv style=\"border-bottom:1px;border-bottom-style:dotted;border-color:;padding-bottom:20px\"\u003e\u003ccenter\u003e\u003ctable align=\"center\" width=\"100%\"\u003e\u003ctbody style=\"border:0px\"\u003e\n\n\u003ctr\u003e\u003ctd align=\"center\" style=\"line-height:1.2em;text-align:center;font-size:18px;color:black;font-weight:bold;padding-bottom:20px;\"\u003e\u003c\/td\u003e\u003c\/tr\u003e\n\n\u003ctr\u003e\u003ctd style=\"text-align:center\"\u003e\u003cimg src=\"https:\/\/image.yes24.com\/goods\/117011997\/XL\" style=\"max-width:100%;height:auto\"\u003e\u003c\/td\u003e\u003c\/tr\u003e\n\n\n\u003c\/tbody\u003e\u003c\/table\u003e\u003c\/center\u003e\u003c\/div\u003e\n\n\u003ccenter\u003e\u003ctable\u003e\u003ctr\u003e\u003ctd style=\"height:10px\"\u003e\u003c\/td\u003e\u003c\/tr\u003e\u003c\/table\u003e\u003c\/center\u003e\n\n\u003ccenter\u003e\u003ctable\u003e\u003ctr\u003e\u003ctd style=\"height:10px\"\u003e\u003c\/td\u003e\u003c\/tr\u003e\u003c\/table\u003e\u003c\/center\u003e\n\n\u003cdiv style=\"width:95%;{split_style6}padding-top:20px;padding-bottom:20px\"\u003e\n\n\u003cdiv style=\"text-align:left;font-size:16px;font-weight:bold;padding-bottom:20px\"\u003e Description \u003c\/div\u003e\n\n\u003cdiv style=\"text-align:left;word-break:break-all;font-size:14px;line-height:1.6em;\"\u003e\n\n\u003cdiv\u003e\u003ch5\u003e \u003cb\u003eBook Introduction\u003c\/b\u003e\n\u003c\/h5\u003e\u003c\/div\u003e\n\u003cdiv\u003e\n\u003cdiv\u003e\u003cdl\u003e\n\u003cdt\u003e A word from MD\u003c\/dt\u003e\n\u003cdd\u003e\n\u003cdiv\u003e It was good in hindsight, but I'm afraid of what's to come.\u003c\/div\u003e\n\u003cdiv\u003e Peter Zeihan, a geopolitics expert who has created a buzz with every book he publishes.\u003cbr\u003e The future he envisions is not bright.\u003cbr\u003e The outlook presented in 『Demography and the Collapsing World』 is bleak.\u003cbr\u003e The world is becoming poorer.\u003cbr\u003e Conflicts over scarce resources are also on the rise.\u003cbr\u003e The war in Ukraine is just beginning, with more bad news to come.\u003cbr\u003e\n\n\u003c\/div\u003e\n\u003cdiv\u003e \u003cspan\u003eJanuary 31, 2023.\u003c\/span\u003e \u003cspan\u003eSocial and Political PD Son Min-gyu\u003c\/span\u003e\n\u003c\/div\u003e\n\u003c\/dd\u003e\n\u003c\/dl\u003e\u003c\/div\u003e\n\u003cdiv\u003e\u003cdiv\u003e \u003cb\u003ePeter Zeihan's fourth book\u003cbr\u003e Why the 21st-Century Nostradamus Predicts the Collapse of the World\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e Geopolitical strategist Zaihan's fourth book, The End of the World Is Just the Beginning, has been published.\u003cbr\u003e Zaihan described the process of writing this book as “a journey of mixed emotions.” \u003cbr\u003eThe process of publishing the Korean version was a bewildering experience.\u003cbr\u003e If Zaihan felt that way about the completion of a grand discourse, the publisher of the Korean edition was at a loss as to how to accept the harsh predictions about the world we live in.\u003cbr\u003e In this book, Zaihan says that the end of the world as we know it will come.\u003cbr\u003e The golden age of the past 75 years is over and now is the time of collapse.\u003cbr\u003e Globalization is collapsing and industrialization is collapsing.\u003cbr\u003e The global division of labor system and network are collapsing.\u003cbr\u003e The kind of world collapse predicted in this book is beyond our imagination.\u003cbr\u003e What is even more puzzling is that there is no clear way for Korea to overcome this.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e Zaihan is called the Nostradamus of the 21st century for his remarkable predictive powers. \u003cbr\u003eHis first book, American Hegemony and Geopolitics in the 21st Century, predicted Trump's America, and in The Shale Revolution and the World Without America, he predicted Russia's invasion of Ukraine.\u003cbr\u003e In 『Each for himself: A world of survival and geopolitics』, he predicted the collapse of China.\u003cbr\u003e So it's hard to dismiss his prediction of the world's collapse.\u003cbr\u003e Zaihan says the collapse will begin in earnest in the 2020s, not in the near future.\u003cbr\u003e It is said that we may go beyond deglobalization and head towards deindustrialization and decivilization.\u003cbr\u003e Raw materials, fuel, and food are all becoming scarce.\u003cbr\u003e The famine that was thought to have disappeared returns.\u003cbr\u003e In a disconnected and collapsing world, those regions that cannot be self-sufficient in materials, food, or energy, or cannot obtain them by force, will suffer the most.\u003cbr\u003e North America is definitely not.\u003cbr\u003e East Asia and Korea suffer the most.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e \u003cbr\u003eWhy does Zaihan believe the world is collapsing? Because the combination of geopolitics and demographics that ushered in the golden age of the postwar era is now operating in the exact opposite direction.\u003cbr\u003e There is no end in sight to the Russo-Ukrainian war.\u003cbr\u003e The era of geopolitical conflict has begun.\u003cbr\u003e Meanwhile, the US-led world order is on the verge of collapse.\u003cbr\u003e Neither the security of allies, nor free market access, nor stable energy distribution are any longer strategic concerns for the United States.\u003cbr\u003e In a world where each country is left to its own devices, countries are left in turmoil.\u003cbr\u003e The Russo-Ukrainian war alone is causing serious disruptions to energy and grain supplies.\u003cbr\u003e Even though one of the three great wars predicted by Zaihan has only just begun.\u003cbr\u003e The bigger problem is that the population collapse has only just begun.\u003cbr\u003e In the 2020s, baby boomers in major countries are retiring in large numbers.\u003cbr\u003e The population effect of life extension has also ended.\u003cbr\u003e The population decline is progressing rapidly. \u003cbr\u003eSouth Korea's birth rate fell below 1 a long time ago, and China's population is also declining.\u003cbr\u003e The aging process is accelerating.\u003cbr\u003e The population that produces and consumes is decreasing, while the population that needs to be supported is increasing.\u003cbr\u003e Savings disappear and you end up living off of your savings.\u003cbr\u003e Capital is scarce and demand is shrinking.\u003cbr\u003e Investment, production, consumption, and trade all collapse.\u003cbr\u003e Long-distance transportation systems also collapse.\u003cbr\u003e People become poor and countries become desperate.\u003cbr\u003e It is difficult to predict what actions countries will take.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e East Asian countries, which must import a significant portion of their energy, raw materials, and food, face the greatest challenges.\u003cbr\u003e The end is coming for the Asian stock companies that can neither make goods cheaply nor sell them.\u003cbr\u003e On the other hand, North America has a large domestic market, abundant energy, and plenty of arable land, yet its population is not decreasing much.\u003cbr\u003e The real North American era is coming. \u003cbr\u003eIn the preface to the Korean edition, Zaihan said, “The future of the world is Korea’s future.”\u003cbr\u003e It sounded like the future of the world depended on Korea.\u003cbr\u003e Can Korea truly prevent deglobalization or find a way to navigate its challenges? How can it avoid the scourge of demographic collapse? We face this enormous and daunting challenge.\u003cbr\u003e\n\n\u003c\/div\u003e\u003c\/div\u003e\n\u003cdiv\u003e\u003cul\u003e\u003cli\u003e You can preview some of the book's contents.\u003cbr\u003e \u003cspan\u003ePreview\u003c\/span\u003e\n\n\u003c\/li\u003e\u003c\/ul\u003e\u003c\/div\u003e\n\u003c\/div\u003e\n\u003cbr\u003e\u003cdiv\u003e\u003ch5\u003e \u003cb\u003eindex\u003c\/b\u003e\n\u003c\/h5\u003e\u003c\/div\u003e\n\u003cdiv\u003e\n\u003cdiv\u003e Preface to the Korean edition\u003cbr\u003e prolog\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e \u003cb\u003ePart 1: The End of an Era\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e 01 It started like this\u003cbr\u003e Agricultural settlement revolution\u003cbr\u003e Water Revolution\u003cbr\u003e Wind Revolution\u003cbr\u003e Industrial Revolution\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e 02 Accidental Superpower\u003cbr\u003e The United States is the most powerful maritime power in history.\u003cbr\u003e The United States is the most powerful and stable industrial nation in history.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e 03 Complete Transformation\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e 04 Our Story\u003cbr\u003e Give up farming\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e 05 Accelerate History\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e 06 Learning creepy words\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e 07 The End of the Addition Era\u003cbr\u003e \u003cbr\u003e08 Messy Models\u003cbr\u003e Russia as a success story\u003cbr\u003e Japan aging gracefully\u003cbr\u003e Get out, coronavirus\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e 09 Remnants of the Addition Era\u003cbr\u003e Addition in the United States 1: Geographical Conditions\u003cbr\u003e Addition in America 2: Baby Boomers and Millennials\u003cbr\u003e Addition in America 3: Culture\u003cbr\u003e Addition of America 4: Mexico\u003cbr\u003e The end of the world as we know it\u003cbr\u003e A brief note from the author… and Moscow\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e \u003cb\u003ePart 2 Transportation\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e 10 A long way\u003cbr\u003e The physical hardship of transportation\u003cbr\u003e Transportation in the Age of Ocean Navigation\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e 11 Breaking Free from Constraints: The Industrialization of Transport\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e 12 Americanization of Trade\u003cbr\u003e Effect 1.\u003cbr\u003e Ships: Much larger, more powerful, but… much slower.\u003cbr\u003e Effect 2.\u003cbr\u003e Containerization: Building a Better Box\u003cbr\u003e Effect 3.\u003cbr\u003e Ports: growing in size and shrinking in number\u003cbr\u003e Effect 4.\u003cbr\u003e Cities: The Explosion of Cities\u003cbr\u003e Effect 5.\u003cbr\u003e Supply Chain: Production local, sales global\u003cbr\u003e dissolution\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e 13. Large-scale dismantling\u003cbr\u003e The World Ahead: Inviting—and Avoiding—Danger\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e 14 Storm-Tossed Harbor  \u003cbr\u003eDeep breath\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e \u003cb\u003ePart 3 Finance\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e 15 Currency: Going Where You've Never Been Before\u003cbr\u003e The long road to currency\u003cbr\u003e Building trust\u003cbr\u003e Reserve currency: Big shot\u003cbr\u003e Failure from success\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e 16 The Adventure of Capital\u003cbr\u003e Free Money: The Asian Financial Model\u003cbr\u003e Great Convergence: The Euro Model\u003cbr\u003e From boom to bust and back to boom again: The American model\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e 17 Disaster is relative\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e 18 Reaffirming the End of the Additive Era: Population Structure and Capital\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e Summary of the 19th Golden Age of Loans\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e 20 Navigating Future Financial Failures\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e \u003cb\u003ePart 4 Energy\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e 21. Harpooning Progress\u003cbr\u003e The Road to Modern Energy: War, Cults, Whales, and… Knitting?\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e 22 Oil order under the US-led world order\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e 23 Oil Map: Current Situation\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e 24 Oil is more than just oil.\u003cbr\u003e Inelasticity\u003cbr\u003e Possibility of disruption\u003cbr\u003e Inseparable\u003cbr\u003e A countermeasure that is not a countermeasure\u003cbr\u003e Oil means more than just oil.\u003cbr\u003e Oil has a greater meaning than just oil.\u003cbr\u003e Climate change\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e 25 Fueling the Future\u003cbr\u003e \u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003ePart 5 Industrial Materials\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e 26 Breaking down history\u003cbr\u003e Lessons from the Past, Lessons for the Future\u003cbr\u003e Things to keep in mind before jumping into the main topic\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e 27 Required Materials\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e 28 Materials that will be in the spotlight in the future\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e 29 Unchanging materials\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e 30 Unique Materials\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e 31 Materials with a stable supply\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e 32 This is how the world ends\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e \u003cb\u003ePart 6 Manufacturing\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e 33 Creating the World We Know\u003cbr\u003e Start from scratch\u003cbr\u003e How and why it works\u003cbr\u003e Just-in-time production method\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e 34 Current map\u003cbr\u003e Manufacturing in East Asia: Globalization Made Real\u003cbr\u003e German-centered European manufacturing\u003cbr\u003e Manufacturing in North America: A Bunch of Options\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e 35 Map of the Future\u003cbr\u003e The End of Asia Inc.\u003cbr\u003e The disintegration of Europe\u003cbr\u003e The North American Century\u003cbr\u003e emerging hub\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e 36 Creating a New World\u003cbr\u003e Analyzing the Collapse\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e \u003cb\u003ePart 7 Agriculture\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e 37 What's at stake?\u003cbr\u003e Building Abundance\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e 38 Geopolitics of Vulnerability\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e 39 Avoiding or Accepting the Worst Case\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e 40 Alleviating Famine\u003cbr\u003e The Art and Science of Input Materials\u003cbr\u003e “Progressive” steps backward\u003cbr\u003e \u003cbr\u003e41 Expand your diet, reduce your diet\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e 42 Agriculture and Climate Change\u003cbr\u003e A Tale of Two Regions\u003cbr\u003e Understanding Climate Change 1: It's Not Heat, It's Humidity\u003cbr\u003e Understanding Climate Change 2: Keep an Eye on the Wind\u003cbr\u003e Understanding Climate Change 3: Two is Better than One\u003cbr\u003e Understanding Climate Change 4: The End of Marginal Land\u003cbr\u003e Look a little further ahead\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e 43 Feeding the New World\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e The Third Horseman's Long Journey\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e Epilogue\u003cbr\u003e Acknowledgements\u003cbr\u003e footnote\u003c\/div\u003e\n\u003cdiv\u003e\u003c\/div\u003e\n\u003c\/div\u003e\n\u003cbr\u003e\u003cdiv\u003e\u003ch5\u003e \u003cb\u003ePublisher's Review\u003c\/b\u003e\n\u003c\/h5\u003e\u003c\/div\u003e\n\u003cdiv\u003e\n\u003cdiv\u003e \u003cb\u003eHow the world we know was created\u003cbr\u003e The 75-year golden age brought about by the Bretton Woods system\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e In the 75 years since the end of World War II, the world's population has nearly tripled.\u003cbr\u003e Materials became abundant and living conditions improved by leaps and bounds.\u003cbr\u003e Jaihan calls this period the Golden Age. \u003cbr\u003eTo understand the immense changes that lie ahead, we must first understand how humanity arrived at the golden age we enjoy today.\u003cbr\u003e This book traces the history of humanity and traces the secrets of the remarkable growth and abundance achieved by humanity since World War II.\u003cbr\u003e It is surprising what happened during this short period, called the post-war era.\u003cbr\u003e Industrialization, which had been the exclusive domain of some advanced countries, has spread throughout the world.\u003cbr\u003e Urbanization took place and the world's population grew explosively.\u003cbr\u003e Transportation costs were lowered, the global division of labor expanded, and economies of scale were maximized.\u003cbr\u003e It has become an era of globalization.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e The beginning of all these changes was the world order created by the United States.\u003cbr\u003e The United States, the only de facto victor of World War II, dismantled its colonial empires in Europe and Asia.\u003cbr\u003e He bought the geopolitics of the free world allies to counter the Soviet Union.\u003cbr\u003e Gave up the domestic market. \u003cbr\u003eThe nations of the free world could not and did not need to wage war.\u003cbr\u003e Thanks to the US Navy, the sea routes have become free and safe.\u003cbr\u003e There was free access to resources.\u003cbr\u003e Globalization has begun.\u003cbr\u003e Developing countries in Asia, including Korea, have also embarked on industrialization.\u003cbr\u003e It was possible to break free from the constraints of geographical conditions that had strangled the nation's fate for thousands of years.\u003cbr\u003e Zeihan calls it the Bretton Woods system, or in other words, the American-led world order.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e The world began to develop at an unprecedented pace on the basis of the safe and open order created by the United States.\u003cbr\u003e And then the magic of demographics worked.\u003cbr\u003e The birth rate is falling, but the population is increasing.\u003cbr\u003e It was an effect of extending lifespan.\u003cbr\u003e The population that consumes and produces is increasing, but the population that supports it is decreasing.\u003cbr\u003e Savings increased and capital was constantly created.\u003cbr\u003e Capital flowed into every corner of the world.\u003cbr\u003e Huge investments were made in infrastructure. \u003cbr\u003eThere has also been significant investment in Brazil's poor soil soybean farms.\u003cbr\u003e A global division of labor system was established.\u003cbr\u003e As China joined the ranks, economies of scale were maximized.\u003cbr\u003e But Zaihan says globalization has already peaked and is collapsing.\u003cbr\u003e It is said that it will begin to collapse in earnest in the 2020s and end in the 2030s.\u003cbr\u003e The world we knew will soon come to an end.\u003cbr\u003e Geographical conditions that bring about success different from the present will come into play.\u003cbr\u003e The maps of transportation, energy, finance, industrial materials, manufacturing, and agriculture will change, redefining winners and losers.\u003cbr\u003e This is the topic that Zaihan seeks to address in this book.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e \u003cb\u003eHow this world collapses\u003cbr\u003e Geopolitics is back, and the demographic disaster is upon us.\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e In February 2022, Russia invaded Ukraine. \u003cbr\u003eZaihan had already predicted this situation in the section titled “Russia-Europe Global War” in “The Shale Revolution and a World Without America,” published in 2019.\u003cbr\u003e Faced with geopolitical insecurity due to its wide and fragile borders, Russia was seen as likely to launch an invasion before its demographics became more desperate.\u003cbr\u003e And whether Russia won or lost the war, it was said that Russia would collapse due to population collapse.\u003cbr\u003e Zaihan's basic argument is that America's withdrawal from the world will lead to geopolitical conflict in the Eastern Hemisphere.\u003cbr\u003e The current picture is that geopolitical collapse is occurring even though the United States has not completely withdrawn.\u003cbr\u003e Regardless of the outcome of the war, Ukraine is on the verge of national collapse.\u003cbr\u003e Not only was territory lost, but populations were wiped out, agriculture was destroyed, and the industrial base was wiped out.\u003cbr\u003e The Black Sea has virtually lost its function as a sea route. \u003cbr\u003eRussia's situation is not much different.\u003cbr\u003e More importantly, this war triggered German rearmament.\u003cbr\u003e Whether the United States likes it or not, the era of geopolitics has arrived, and the United States is part of that game.\u003cbr\u003e We are living in a world where geopolitical conflicts can erupt anywhere, whether in the Persian Gulf, the South China Sea, or the Taiwan Strait, and where it is no surprise that sea lanes are blocked and energy flows are disrupted.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e But geopolitics isn't everything.\u003cbr\u003e As the baby boomers retire en masse in the 2020s, the magic of demographics comes to a halt.\u003cbr\u003e The life extension effect has also ended.\u003cbr\u003e The era of population decline has arrived.\u003cbr\u003e Now the demographic disaster begins.\u003cbr\u003e Zaihan says the ongoing population collapse will result in a population decline equivalent to the Black Death over the next 20-30 years. \u003cbr\u003eThe problem isn't the current population, but the lack of young people to have children in the future.\u003cbr\u003e The population decline trend is accelerating.\u003cbr\u003e Most countries passed the point of no return by 1980.\u003cbr\u003e The productive population is decreasing, but the population to support is rapidly increasing.\u003cbr\u003e You have no money to save and end up living off of your savings.\u003cbr\u003e Demand is down, investment is down, and trade is down.\u003cbr\u003e The issue is not growth, but survival.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e Global demand is running low and the US is closing its markets.\u003cbr\u003e Europe is also closed.\u003cbr\u003e Everyone is obsessed with protecting their own country's needs.\u003cbr\u003e Even localized geopolitical conflicts can make access to energy and resources impossible or expensive.\u003cbr\u003e Transportation costs are skyrocketing.\u003cbr\u003e Long-distance freight transport is taking a hit.\u003cbr\u003e Economies of scale disappear and the effects of division of labor disappear.\u003cbr\u003e Globalization will end completely.\u003cbr\u003e Most of them become poor.\u003cbr\u003e Everything becomes precious. \u003cbr\u003eFood supplies are at risk.\u003cbr\u003e Countries that depend on imports for raw materials, energy, and food are the most desperate.\u003cbr\u003e Trading countries that rely on exports are the hardest hit.\u003cbr\u003e It is difficult to predict how countries will act when they become desperate.\u003cbr\u003e The combination of unstable geopolitics and desperate demographics will lead to the complete collapse of the world.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e \u003cb\u003eAspects of a Collapsing World 1: Transportation, Energy, and Industrial Materials\u003cbr\u003e The End of an Era of Reliable Long-Distance Transportation and Energy Access\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e In the American-led world, neither imperial tyranny nor pirate raids have disappeared.\u003cbr\u003e Maritime transport routes have become free and safe.\u003cbr\u003e As the United States opened its markets, trade increased.\u003cbr\u003e Ships became larger, container ships appeared, and long-distance maritime transport developed.\u003cbr\u003e The port also became larger.\u003cbr\u003e A global supply chain has been formed. \u003cbr\u003eThe world's prosperity has been fueled by a global division of labor and economies of scale, which are based on cheap and safe long-distance transportation.\u003cbr\u003e If this transportation system collapses, industrialization, urbanization, and globalization will also collapse.\u003cbr\u003e If the United States fails to protect the sea lanes, maritime transportation routes will become unstable.\u003cbr\u003e Whether it's the Arabian Sea, the Mediterranean Sea, the Red Sea, the Black Sea, or the South China Sea, passage can be blocked or cargo ships can be seized at any time.\u003cbr\u003e Even if the United States no longer opens its markets and its population declines, trade will shrink, the division of labor will break down, transportation demand will decrease, and long-distance transportation systems will collapse.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e Free access to and distribution of energy has been a core pillar of the US-led world order.\u003cbr\u003e Imperialist legacies and regional powers that impeded access to oil had to be eliminated.\u003cbr\u003e The world economy grew, America's allies expanded, and the need for more and more oil grew. \u003cbr\u003eEven the United States relied on imports.\u003cbr\u003e Even after the Cold War ended, I couldn't let go.\u003cbr\u003e And then shale came along in 2014.\u003cbr\u003e The shale revolution has changed America's strategic calculations about the global energy sector.\u003cbr\u003e The stakes in ensuring stable oil distribution have changed.\u003cbr\u003e Military conflicts are occurring or will occur, whether along the Russian border or in the Persian Gulf.\u003cbr\u003e In the future, 40 percent of the world's oil supply will be unsustainable.\u003cbr\u003e Even if input prices rise, capital flows fail, or transportation routes are compromised, oil production and supply will be seriously disrupted.\u003cbr\u003e A disruption in the supply of oil for even a few weeks could bring down modern civilization.\u003cbr\u003e Solar and wind power are hardly alternatives.\u003cbr\u003e In most cases, the areas where solar or wind power is available and the areas where it is needed do not match. \u003cbr\u003eIn a worst-case scenario, countries may become dependent again on self-sufficient coal.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e With the advent of the US-led world order, countless materials became available for purchase in a free and fair global market.\u003cbr\u003e The world order established stability, stability promoted economic growth, economic growth enabled technological progress, and technological progress increased the demand for materials.\u003cbr\u003e Over the past 75 years, the list of materials needed for modern life has expanded more than tenfold.\u003cbr\u003e This book covers the current status and future of major industrial materials such as iron, cobalt, nickel, lithium, silver, uranium, and zinc.\u003cbr\u003e You will learn which materials are used where and how important they are.\u003cbr\u003e But everything begins to change when America withdraws from the world order.\u003cbr\u003e Unpredictable competitions will unfold all over the world.\u003cbr\u003e Economic predictions become impossible.\u003cbr\u003e Predictions about industrial materials also become impossible. \u003cbr\u003ePredicting technological applications also becomes impossible.\u003cbr\u003e Access to industrial materials may become impossible, except for a few countries that have materials in the region or have the military capacity to access other areas where materials are available.\u003cbr\u003e Deindustrialization will occur.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e \u003cb\u003eAspects of a Collapsing World 2: Finance and Manufacturing\u003cbr\u003e The Golden Age of Lending and the End of the Asian Stock Company\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e The dollar emerged as the reserve currency under the Bretton Woods system.\u003cbr\u003e It was a gold standard system.\u003cbr\u003e Under the dollar reserve currency system, the world economy developed at an unprecedented pace.\u003cbr\u003e As the world economy grew in size, the gold standard system was replaced by a fiat currency system.\u003cbr\u003e There was an endless supply of cheap capital.\u003cbr\u003e There was no need to worry about prices.\u003cbr\u003e Because the population was growing.\u003cbr\u003e It was the age of venture capital.\u003cbr\u003e Investment funds poured into every project.\u003cbr\u003e Since 2006, monetary inflation has become the norm.\u003cbr\u003e The European financial crisis caused the money supply to increase by more than 80 percent. \u003cbr\u003eThe same goes for Japan.\u003cbr\u003e China continued its massive monetary expansion.\u003cbr\u003e Since 2007, the supply of yuan has increased by 800 percent.\u003cbr\u003e The economy was larger and had a much larger reserve currency than the US dollar.\u003cbr\u003e The Chinese economy is in fact neither consumption-driven nor export-driven, but rather a loan-driven economy.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e Whether in China, Europe, or Japan, irresponsible monetary policies will have consequences.\u003cbr\u003e In the era of fiat money, bills are being raised for the explosion in available capital and the explosion in the money supply.\u003cbr\u003e The population structure that has so far greatly expanded the supply of capital and suppressed the increase in the cost of capital is now collapsing.\u003cbr\u003e The populations of most countries are aging.\u003cbr\u003e Their retirement years are concentrated in the 2020s and 30s.\u003cbr\u003e As they retire almost simultaneously, they will no longer be supplying capital to the global economy.\u003cbr\u003e If the money supply increases without capital supply, inflation will occur.\u003cbr\u003e It becomes a vicious cycle. \u003cbr\u003eAt the very moment when the United States no longer supports the world order, when it can no longer support it.\u003cbr\u003e The money supply dries up and the cost of borrowing increases.\u003cbr\u003e The era of addition is over.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e Under the US-led world order, East Asia became the center of global manufacturing.\u003cbr\u003e The success of Asian manufacturing is a result of the region's diverse labor markets and the US-backed security environment and trade networks.\u003cbr\u003e But now both of these are problematic.\u003cbr\u003e Demographic collapse hits the former, and America's change of heart hits the latter.\u003cbr\u003e As manufacturing costs rise and security becomes more uncertain, we will lose our position as a global manufacturing hub.\u003cbr\u003e As the number of middle-aged and older workers increases due to an aging population, wages become more expensive.\u003cbr\u003e Exports must continue, but if the United States closes its markets or restricts access, the Asian economic model will be difficult to maintain.\u003cbr\u003e China imports more than 70 percent of its 14 million barrels of oil per day. \u003cbr\u003eJapan, South Korea, and Taiwan import more than 95 percent of their needs.\u003cbr\u003e But when regional conflicts or security crises occur, access to energy and inputs becomes impossible or expensive.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e In a deglobalized world, North America is emerging as a new manufacturing hub.\u003cbr\u003e America has markets and vast land.\u003cbr\u003e There is geographic diversity.\u003cbr\u003e Prices for food, electricity, oil, and land vary greatly from region to region.\u003cbr\u003e There's also Mexico.\u003cbr\u003e The wage gap with the US is one-sixth.\u003cbr\u003e They are complementary due to the wage gap.\u003cbr\u003e Moreover, the United States has the healthiest demographic structure among developed countries.\u003cbr\u003e Mexico is the same. \u003cbr\u003eDo East Asian countries have the capacity to engage in productive cooperation that would enable a diverse, integrated, and peaceful manufacturing supply chain? Can a regional economic community like the European Union be created? The moment the United States fails to engage or obstructs such efforts, any remaining cooperation will end.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e \u003cb\u003eAspects of a Collapsing World 3: Agriculture\u003cbr\u003e The age of famine is coming\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e Humans have been cultivating wheat since ancient times.\u003cbr\u003e It grows quickly, adapts easily, and is easy to cultivate.\u003cbr\u003e It could be stored for a long time.\u003cbr\u003e Empires needed wheat to expand, and they waged wars to gain land to grow wheat.\u003cbr\u003e It was the US-led world order that brought down the world of wheat.\u003cbr\u003e Sea routes were made safe and imperialist expansion was prohibited.\u003cbr\u003e Technology and inputs were also invested in marginal lands.\u003cbr\u003e The Green Revolution took place, quadrupling agricultural production in developing countries. \u003cbr\u003eMany areas where people barely managed to survive have been transformed into areas with a stable food supply.\u003cbr\u003e Agricultural trade expanded and more diverse varieties were grown.\u003cbr\u003e Wheat was pushed to the periphery.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e The era that fed 8 billion people and allowed them to eat out-of-season fruit is coming to an end.\u003cbr\u003e The United States will not or cannot become involved in maintaining world order.\u003cbr\u003e Geopolitical conflicts become more frequent.\u003cbr\u003e Globally transported grains and soybeans account for 20-25 percent, but global transport of inputs accounts for 80 percent.\u003cbr\u003e To produce nitrogen fertilizer, you need natural gas.\u003cbr\u003e Ginseng salt and volcanic ash, which are sources of potassium, are also needed.\u003cbr\u003e Access to these inputs becomes more difficult or expensive.\u003cbr\u003e Long-distance transportation systems are not maintained.\u003cbr\u003e The network will collapse.\u003cbr\u003e The variety of agricultural products is decreasing and yields are becoming unstable.\u003cbr\u003e There is a problem with the food supply. \u003cbr\u003eThings happen where the country collapses.\u003cbr\u003e Zaihan predicts that in the future, more than one billion people will die from hunger and two billion will suffer from chronic malnutrition.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e Only the United States, France, and Canada have a full supply chain within their own borders, from agricultural loans to fuel and fertilizer.\u003cbr\u003e There are food exporting countries like Brazil that are unable to secure inputs properly.\u003cbr\u003e Some importing countries may not be able to obtain food, or even if they can, they may be dependent on exporting countries.\u003cbr\u003e Russia uses food diplomacy to consolidate its control over surrounding regions such as Mongolia and Tajikistan.\u003cbr\u003e France could effectively rule Morocco, Tunisia, Algeria, etc.\u003cbr\u003e Turkey uses its agricultural prowess to extract geopolitical concessions from countries like Azerbaijan, Georgia, Greece, and Syria.\u003cbr\u003e The biggest loser is China. \u003cbr\u003eOil, which accounts for 80 percent of our needs, and other imported goods must be imported from far away at high prices.\u003cbr\u003e If you can import it, that's better.\u003cbr\u003e China's existing agricultural system is over-invested and now lacks both labor and capital to invest.\u003cbr\u003e China will soon face massive food shortages.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e \u003cb\u003eThe real American era is coming.\u003cbr\u003e North America's fantastic geographic, demographic, and climatic conditions\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e People think of the Bretton Woods system as a kind of Pax Americana.\u003cbr\u003e It is also called the American Century.\u003cbr\u003e Jaihan says that is not the case.\u003cbr\u003e The US-led world order is said to have been a system in which the US accepted economic disadvantages to win the loyalty of its global allies, and the result was globalization.\u003cbr\u003e The American Century, people say, was a century of American sacrifice, and that sacrifice will no longer continue.\u003cbr\u003e The United States will begin to act like a normal country. \u003cbr\u003eAs the United States withdraws from maintaining world order, the structural, strategic, and economic factors that artificially supported the Asian and European systems will disappear.\u003cbr\u003e Europe is disintegrating and the Chinese system is collapsing.\u003cbr\u003e The true American century is just beginning.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e The United States has one of the healthiest demographics in the world.\u003cbr\u003e As population decline becomes more serious, the remaining spending power is concentrated in North America.\u003cbr\u003e The shock from the retirement of the baby boomers will not last long.\u003cbr\u003e Because there is a relatively thick layer of millennials.\u003cbr\u003e It is a unique country with a constant influx of immigrants and a culture that is receptive to immigration.\u003cbr\u003e Moreover, the United States has enough usable land to support more than twice its current population.\u003cbr\u003e The shale revolution has eliminated the need to worry about energy supply.\u003cbr\u003e Canada and Mexico are also oil-producing countries.\u003cbr\u003e Energy is surplus and electricity bills are cheap. \u003cbr\u003eManufacturing is already moving in large numbers back to the United States.\u003cbr\u003e When trade networks break down, the flow becomes stronger.\u003cbr\u003e The United States is also the largest exporter of agricultural products.\u003cbr\u003e While climate change is turning farmland elsewhere into wasteland, it is turning marginal land into farmland in the United States.\u003cbr\u003e The power of geographical conditions is concentrated in the United States.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e On the other hand, China does not have much time.\u003cbr\u003e China's population decline has already begun.\u003cbr\u003e The question is not whether a challenge to China's hegemony is possible.\u003cbr\u003e The very existence of the Chinese system is at stake.\u003cbr\u003e Everything in modern China, from its industrial structure to its food supply, is a direct result of the American-led world order.\u003cbr\u003e If the US pulls out, China's access to energy will be disrupted.\u003cbr\u003e Manufacturing revenues will disappear, and the ability to import the raw materials needed to make those products, as well as the ability to import and produce food, will be lost. \u003cbr\u003eThere is a difference between the cost of access rising and access itself becoming impossible.\u003cbr\u003e In the former case, industrial hollowing out occurs.\u003cbr\u003e In the latter case, deindustrialization occurs.\u003cbr\u003e China faces deindustrialization and deurbanization on an unprecedented scale.\u003cbr\u003e There is even the possibility of political disintegration and decivilization.\u003cbr\u003e This will happen regardless of whether or not American intervention continues, simply because of population collapse.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e \u003cb\u003eKorea's Fate in the Age of Deglobalization and Population Collapse\u003cbr\u003e What is Korea's survival strategy?\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e Zaihan says that if the United States abandons its role as custodian of order, the world will not function properly.\u003cbr\u003e They say that the geopolitical conflict in the Eastern Hemisphere will dismantle the global network that has existed so far, that is, the globalized world.\u003cbr\u003e The world is torn apart. \u003cbr\u003eThis trend is becoming more irreversible and more catastrophic as population collapse causes the world to split apart, and nations become poorer and more desperate.\u003cbr\u003e The behavior of nations becomes unpredictable.\u003cbr\u003e Korea is in the midst of such deglobalization and population collapse.\u003cbr\u003e In the future, when the United States leaves, Korea will be an export-driven country with no real allies, no real resources, no domestic market, and the worst demographic structure.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e In the preface to the Korean edition, Zaihan describes the future Korea faces as follows:\u003cbr\u003e “Without globalization, Korea’s economic sector cannot exist.\u003cbr\u003e Without the demographic structure seen over the past quarter century, neither the capital structure nor the level of labor productivity can be maintained.\u003cbr\u003e South Korea is the country with the highest dependence on exports and imports, has the fastest aging population in the world, and has the lowest birth rate. \u003cbr\u003eWhether it's energy access, physical security, a stable workforce, or access to markets and raw materials—issues that will only get worse in the 2020s and 2030s—South Korea is already, “altogether,” the most seriously exposed.\u003cbr\u003e “I don’t know how Korea will survive in a world where multiple, accelerating and overlapping crises are occurring almost simultaneously in transportation, finance, energy, raw materials, manufacturing, and agriculture.”\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e What is the path for Korea to navigate the challenges of deglobalization and demographic collapse? Is there even one? Will Koreans, with their creativity, technology, tenacity, and unwavering will, as Jaihan suggests, find a way? Korea has limited time and resources.\u003cbr\u003e What must we do now to confront the immense challenges of deglobalization and demographic collapse? I highly recommend this book to anyone concerned about Korea's fate. \u003cbr\u003e\n\n\u003c\/div\u003e\n\u003cdiv\u003e\u003c\/div\u003e\n\u003c\/div\u003e\n\u003c\/div\u003e\n\n\n\u003c\/div\u003e\n\n\u003ccenter\u003e\u003ctable\u003e\u003ctr\u003e\u003ctd style=\"height:10px\"\u003e\u003c\/td\u003e\u003c\/tr\u003e\u003c\/table\u003e\u003c\/center\u003e\n\n\u003ccenter\u003e\u003ctable\u003e\u003ctr\u003e\u003ctd style=\"height:10px\"\u003e\u003c\/td\u003e\u003c\/tr\u003e\u003c\/table\u003e\u003c\/center\u003e\n\n\u003cdiv style=\"width:95%;padding-top:20px;padding-bottom:20px\"\u003e\n\n\u003cdiv style=\"text-align:left;font-size:16px;font-weight:bold;padding-bottom:20px\"\u003e GOODS SPECIFICS\u003c\/div\u003e\n\n\u003cdiv style=\"text-align:left;font-size:14px;line-height:1.6em;\"\u003e\n\n \u003cdiv style=\"width:100%;margin-bottom:5px;line-height:1.6em;font-size:14px\"\u003e- \u003cstrong\u003eDate of issue:\u003c\/strong\u003e January 19, 2023\u003c\/div\u003e\n\n\u003cdiv style=\"width:100%;margin-bottom:5px;line-height:1.6em;font-size:14px\"\u003e - \u003cstrong\u003ePage count, weight, size:\u003c\/strong\u003e 544 pages | 798g | 153*225*26mm\u003c\/div\u003e\n\n\u003cdiv style=\"width:100%;margin-bottom:5px;line-height:1.6em;font-size:14px\"\u003e - \u003cstrong\u003eISBN13:\u003c\/strong\u003e 9788989566885\u003c\/div\u003e\n\n\u003cdiv style=\"width:100%;margin-bottom:5px;line-height:1.6em;font-size:14px\"\u003e - \u003cstrong\u003eISBN10:\u003c\/strong\u003e 8989566886 \u003c\/div\u003e\n\n\n\u003c\/div\u003e\n\n\n\u003c\/div\u003e\n\n\n\u003c\/div\u003e\n\n\u003ccenter\u003e\n\n\u003ccenter\u003e\u003ctable\u003e\u003ctr\u003e\u003ctd style=\"height:10px\"\u003e\u003c\/td\u003e\u003c\/tr\u003e\u003c\/table\u003e\u003c\/center\u003e\n\n\u003ccenter\u003e\u003ctable\u003e\u003ctr\u003e\u003ctd style=\"height:10px\"\u003e\u003c\/td\u003e\u003c\/tr\u003e\u003c\/table\u003e\u003c\/center\u003e\n\n\u003cspan\u003e\u003c\/span\u003e\n\n\u003c\/center\u003e\n\n\n\u003c\/center\u003e","brand":"LIBRAIRIE COREENNE","offers":[{"title":"Default Title","offer_id":43894496657450,"sku":"105399","price":32.0,"currency_code":"EUR","in_stock":true}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/0683\/2750\/5962\/files\/68fceaee9a116aa5035ec8e3faaab5ec.jpg?v=1765435701","url":"https:\/\/librairie.coreenne.fr\/en\/products\/105399","provider":"LIBRAIRIE COREENNE","version":"1.0","type":"link"}