{"product_id":"105997","title":"The Shale Revolution and a World Without America ","description":"\u003ccenter\u003e\u003cdiv style=\"text-align:center\"\u003e\u003cimg src=\"https:\/\/tmgdisk01.cafe24.com\/images\/vs\/4172\/sv\/3jYHtPXEII0qJQUTqYQOs2Su3UizYj.png?v=1765124545\" style=\"max-width:100%;max-height:10px\"\u003e\u003c\/div\u003e\u003c\/center\u003e\n\u003ccenter\u003e\u003ctable\u003e\u003ctr\u003e\u003ctd style=\"height:10px\"\u003e\u003c\/td\u003e\u003c\/tr\u003e\u003c\/table\u003e\u003c\/center\u003e\n\u003ccenter\u003e\u003ctable\u003e\u003ctr\u003e\u003ctd style=\"height:10px\"\u003e\u003c\/td\u003e\u003c\/tr\u003e\u003c\/table\u003e\u003c\/center\u003e\n\u003ccenter\u003e\n\n\u003cdiv style=\"width:95%\"\u003e\n\n\u003cdiv style=\"text-align:center;font-size:30px;font-weight:bolder;line-height:1.6em\"\u003e The Shale Revolution and a World Without America \u003c\/div\u003e\n\n\u003ccenter\u003e\u003ctable\u003e\u003ctr\u003e\u003ctd style=\"height:10px\"\u003e\u003c\/td\u003e\u003c\/tr\u003e\u003c\/table\u003e\u003c\/center\u003e\n\n\u003ccenter\u003e\u003ctable\u003e\u003ctr\u003e\u003ctd style=\"height:10px\"\u003e\u003c\/td\u003e\u003c\/tr\u003e\u003c\/table\u003e\u003c\/center\u003e\n\n\u003ccenter\u003e\u003ctable\u003e\u003ctr\u003e\u003ctd style=\"height:10px\"\u003e\u003c\/td\u003e\u003c\/tr\u003e\u003c\/table\u003e\u003c\/center\u003e\n\n\u003ccenter\u003e\u003ctable\u003e\u003ctr\u003e\u003ctd style=\"height:10px\"\u003e\u003c\/td\u003e\u003c\/tr\u003e\u003c\/table\u003e\u003c\/center\u003e\n\n\u003cdiv style=\"border-bottom:1px;border-bottom-style:dotted;border-color:;padding-bottom:20px\"\u003e\u003ccenter\u003e\u003ctable align=\"center\" width=\"100%\"\u003e\u003ctbody style=\"border:0px\"\u003e\n\n\u003ctr\u003e\u003ctd align=\"center\" style=\"line-height:1.2em;text-align:center;font-size:18px;color:black;font-weight:bold;padding-bottom:20px;\"\u003e\u003c\/td\u003e\u003c\/tr\u003e\n\n\u003ctr\u003e\u003ctd style=\"text-align:center\"\u003e\u003cimg src=\"https:\/\/image.yes24.com\/goods\/69240188\/XL\" style=\"max-width:100%;height:auto\"\u003e\u003c\/td\u003e\u003c\/tr\u003e\n\n\n\u003c\/tbody\u003e\u003c\/table\u003e\u003c\/center\u003e\u003c\/div\u003e\n\n\u003ccenter\u003e\u003ctable\u003e\u003ctr\u003e\u003ctd style=\"height:10px\"\u003e\u003c\/td\u003e\u003c\/tr\u003e\u003c\/table\u003e\u003c\/center\u003e\n\n\u003ccenter\u003e\u003ctable\u003e\u003ctr\u003e\u003ctd style=\"height:10px\"\u003e\u003c\/td\u003e\u003c\/tr\u003e\u003c\/table\u003e\u003c\/center\u003e\n\n\u003cdiv style=\"width:95%;{split_style6}padding-top:20px;padding-bottom:20px\"\u003e\n\n\u003cdiv style=\"text-align:left;font-size:16px;font-weight:bold;padding-bottom:20px\"\u003e Description \u003c\/div\u003e\n\n\u003cdiv style=\"text-align:left;word-break:break-all;font-size:14px;line-height:1.6em;\"\u003e\n\n\u003cdiv\u003e\u003ch5\u003e \u003cb\u003eBook Introduction\u003c\/b\u003e\n\u003c\/h5\u003e\u003c\/div\u003e\n\u003cdiv\u003e\n\u003cdiv\u003e\u003cdl\u003e\n\u003cdt\u003e A word from MD\u003c\/dt\u003e\n\u003cdd\u003e\n\u003cdiv\u003e The end of the familiar world order\u003c\/div\u003e\n\u003cdiv\u003e After World War II, the United States took on the role of the world's policeman.\u003cbr\u003e Now, the US-led world order is beginning to crumble.\u003cbr\u003e As President Trump has said, the United States has no interest in maintaining world order. \u003cbr\u003eThe international situation has become unstable.\u003cbr\u003e This book analyzes the turbulent world order from a geopolitical perspective.\u003cbr\u003e\n\n\u003c\/div\u003e\n\u003cdiv\u003e \u003cspan\u003eFebruary 12, 2019.\u003c\/span\u003e \u003cspan\u003eSocial and Political PD Son Min-gyu\u003c\/span\u003e\n\u003c\/div\u003e\n\u003c\/dd\u003e\n\u003c\/dl\u003e\u003c\/div\u003e\n\u003cdiv\u003e\u003cdiv\u003e \u003cb\u003eThe world we knew is ending.\u003cbr\u003e The US-China trade war is just the beginning of a cataclysm.\u003cbr\u003e\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e On December 20, 2018, US President Donald Trump announced the full withdrawal of US troops from Syria, and a few days later, during a visit to the US Al-Asad Air Base in Iraq, he declared, “The United States cannot be the world’s policeman, and the United States is not the world’s puppet.”\u003cbr\u003e It has been a year since he declared the era of economic subservience was over, declaring a \"new American era\" in his State of the Union address.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e The global security system and free trade order, led and led by the United States, are collapsing.\u003cbr\u003e America's strategic goal is to maintain its hegemony, not to maintain world order. \u003cbr\u003eRather, the United States is tired of maintaining the world order and is therefore actively undermining it.\u003cbr\u003e The US-China trade war means that the Bretton Woods system, which was characterized by US-led security alliances and free trade, is coming to an end.\u003cbr\u003e The problem is that the United States will be leaving the world at a time when global consumption is shrinking and the global economy is entering a period of austerity, as the world's demographics are rapidly reversing.\u003cbr\u003e The moment the United States withdraws from maintaining world order, the geopolitical conflicts it has controlled will erupt, plunging the world into massive chaos.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e \"The Shale Revolution and a World Without America\" ​​is Peter Zeihan's second book, following \"American Hegemony and Geopolitics in the 21st Century.\" \u003cbr\u003eIn \"American Hegemony and Geopolitics in the 21st Century,\" Zaihan analyzes the sources of American power, the nature of the post-World War II world order, and how demographic changes, geopolitics, and the shale revolution are leading the 21st century world into chaos.\u003cbr\u003e \"The Shale Revolution and a World Without America\" ​​delves deeper into how the shale revolution, which began in earnest in the United States after 2014, became possible and how it will transform the world as a game changer.\u003cbr\u003e Furthermore, it presents with remarkable analytical power why the superpower United States is withdrawing from maintaining world order and what geopolitical conflicts will unfold as a result in the power centers of the Eastern Hemisphere.\u003cbr\u003e In particular, the geopolitical analysis of the series of conflicts that will unfold between China, Japan, and Korea in East Asia in the future can be considered a textbook on East Asian geopolitics.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\n\u003c\/div\u003e\u003c\/div\u003e\n\u003cdiv\u003e  \u003cul\u003e\u003cli\u003eYou can preview some of the book's contents.\u003cbr\u003e \u003cspan\u003ePreview\u003c\/span\u003e\n\n\u003c\/li\u003e\u003c\/ul\u003e\n\u003c\/div\u003e\n\u003c\/div\u003e\n\u003cbr\u003e\u003cdiv\u003e\u003ch5\u003e \u003cb\u003eindex\u003c\/b\u003e\n\u003c\/h5\u003e\u003c\/div\u003e\n\u003cdiv\u003e\n\u003cdiv\u003e Author's Preface to the Korean Edition\u003cbr\u003e Lee Chun-geun's recommended preface\u003cbr\u003e Introduction\u003cbr\u003e \u003cb\u003e\u003cbr\u003ePart 1: Shale Creates a New World\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e 01 The First Shale Revolution\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e shale rock\u003cbr\u003e The coming shale revolution\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e \u003cb\u003e02 The Second Shale Revolution\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e Survival Strategies in a Crashing Oil Price Environment\u003cbr\u003e Reduce, reuse, and recycle\u003cbr\u003e Combine, integrate, and expand\u003cbr\u003e Micro-Seismic Revolution\u003cbr\u003e Branch out\u003cbr\u003e Is this enough stimulation?\u003cbr\u003e The next step for the shale industry\u003cbr\u003e Another Side of Shale\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e \u003cb\u003e03 The Third Shale Revolution\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e The fuel used for cooking these days is...\u003cbr\u003e economies of scale\u003cbr\u003e Job creation\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e \u003cb\u003e04 American, all too American energy\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e Geographic conditions\u003cbr\u003e manpower\u003cbr\u003e private property rights\u003cbr\u003e capital\u003cbr\u003e Infrastructure\u003cbr\u003e Countries that chase after the United States with furrowed brows but cannot catch up.\u003cbr\u003e Reshaping the world\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e \u003cb\u003ePart 2: Disorder\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e 05 The End of the Old World\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e \u003cbr\u003eGeographical conditions required for a global power\u003cbr\u003e Trade and the World We Know\u003cbr\u003e Population Structure and a Fluid World\u003cbr\u003e Energy Strategy\u003cbr\u003e 2007: The World at the Dawn of the Shale Age\u003cbr\u003e 2015: Shale and a Fluid World\u003cbr\u003e War of Disorder\u003cbr\u003e \u003cb\u003e\u003cbr\u003eChapter 6: The War of the Earth: Europe and Russia\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e Russia's Geography: A Painful Lesson\u003cbr\u003e Soviet solution\u003cbr\u003e What should I do?\u003cbr\u003e Step 1: Destroy Ukraine and divide Europe.\u003cbr\u003e Stage 2: Scandinavia\u003cbr\u003e Step 3: Central Axis\u003cbr\u003e Step 4: Southern Border\u003cbr\u003e Turn your attention to Syria\u003cbr\u003e Which side should you bet on in the global war?\u003cbr\u003e America's role in the global war\u003cbr\u003e The Aftermath of War: Europe and Russia\u003cbr\u003e \u003cb\u003e\u003cbr\u003e07 Persian Gulf War: Iran-Saudi Arabia\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e Meeting with neighbors\u003cbr\u003e Persian Dreams and Unique Strategies\u003cbr\u003e Step 1: Knife\u003cbr\u003e Step 2: Purchase\u003cbr\u003e battlefield\u003cbr\u003e Iran's Difficult Problem\u003cbr\u003e Step 1: Close the Persian Gulf\u003cbr\u003e Stage 2: Rebellion\u003cbr\u003e Stage 3: Invasion\u003cbr\u003e America's role (or lack thereof) in the Persian Gulf War \u003cbr\u003eAftershock: The Persian Gulf's Deepening Rift\u003cbr\u003e \u003cb\u003e\u003cbr\u003e08 Tanker Wars: China and Japan\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e The amazing power of Japan\u003cbr\u003e China: A Perfect Example of Vulnerability\u003cbr\u003e The crowbar called Taiwan\u003cbr\u003e Who will Korea join hands with?\u003cbr\u003e Enemies at hand: Vietnam, the Philippines, and Malaysia\u003cbr\u003e War is a golden opportunity to make money: Singapore, Indonesia, Thailand, Myanmar\u003cbr\u003e Role reversal in South Asia\u003cbr\u003e Aftershock: Asia's Coast and Beyond\u003cbr\u003e \u003cb\u003e\u003cbr\u003e09 16 countries that benefit from fishing\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e Now it's time for some good news.\u003cbr\u003e A long journey home\u003cbr\u003e \u003cb\u003e\u003cbr\u003e10 The World of Supermajors\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e The State of Energy in the United States\u003cbr\u003e Fighting deglobalization\u003cbr\u003e The State of Energy in Europe\u003cbr\u003e France: The Return to Empire\u003cbr\u003e Britain: Supplying Fuel for the War\u003cbr\u003e Italy: The Geopolitics of Business Lunches\u003cbr\u003e Bringing order to chaos\u003cbr\u003e \u003cb\u003e\u003cbr\u003ePart 3: America's Role\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e 11 Available resources in the United States\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e No country still has military power comparable to that of the United States.\u003cbr\u003e The capabilities of the US military are not limited to the US military.  \u003cbr\u003eThe US economy is largely unaffected by the collapse of the global system.\u003cbr\u003e \u003cb\u003e\u003cbr\u003e12 Dollar Diplomacy in Southeast Asia\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e Making a splash in Southeast Asia\u003cbr\u003e Beyond Southeast Asia\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e \u003cb\u003e13 Dollar Diplomacy in Latin America\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e Geographical conditions are merciless\u003cbr\u003e Politics under adverse geographical conditions\u003cbr\u003e Three exceptions\u003cbr\u003e The Light and Shadow of the Latin American Energy Industry\u003cbr\u003e Venezuela: Good times are gone...\u003cbr\u003e Brazil: The terrible times are gone...\u003cbr\u003e Argentina: Hope for the Future\u003cbr\u003e Trinidad and Tobago: A Bridge to Somewhere\u003cbr\u003e Colombia: Doing it right\u003cbr\u003e Peru: Literary hardship\u003cbr\u003e Ecuador: No Entry!\u003cbr\u003e The Caribbean and Central America: Forced Transition, Forced Integration\u003cbr\u003e A superpower that doesn't completely let go\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e Conclusion: Shale's New World\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e Appendix I: Shale and the Transformation of Climate Change\u003cbr\u003e Appendix II: Other Shale-Related Concerns\u003cbr\u003e Appendix III Oil and Natural Gas Related Materials\u003cbr\u003e Acknowledgements\u003c\/div\u003e\n\u003cdiv\u003e\u003c\/div\u003e\n\u003c\/div\u003e\n\u003cbr\u003e\u003cdiv\u003e\u003ch5\u003e \u003cb\u003ePublisher's Review\u003c\/b\u003e\n\u003c\/h5\u003e\u003c\/div\u003e\n\u003cdiv\u003e\n\u003cdiv\u003e \u003cb\u003eThe world we knew is ending.\u003c\/b\u003e  \u003cbr\u003eThe US-China trade war is just the beginning of a cataclysm.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e On December 20, 2018, US President Donald Trump announced the full withdrawal of US troops from Syria, and a few days later, during a visit to the US Al-Asad Air Base in Iraq, he declared, “The United States cannot be the world’s policeman, and the United States is not the world’s puppet.”\u003cbr\u003e It has been a year since he declared the era of economic subservience was over, declaring a \"new American era\" in his State of the Union address.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e The global security system and free trade order, led and led by the United States, are collapsing.\u003cbr\u003e America's strategic goal is to maintain its hegemony, not to maintain world order.\u003cbr\u003e Rather, the United States is tired of maintaining the world order and is therefore actively undermining it. \u003cbr\u003eThe US-China trade war means that the Bretton Woods system, which was characterized by US-led security alliances and free trade, is coming to an end.\u003cbr\u003e The problem is that the United States will be leaving the world at a time when global consumption is shrinking and the global economy is entering a period of austerity, as the world's demographics are rapidly reversing.\u003cbr\u003e The moment the United States withdraws from maintaining world order, the geopolitical conflicts it has controlled will erupt, plunging the world into massive chaos.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e \"The Shale Revolution and a World Without America\" ​​is Peter Zeihan's second book, following \"American Hegemony and Geopolitics in the 21st Century.\" \u003cbr\u003eIn \"American Hegemony and Geopolitics in the 21st Century,\" Zaihan analyzes the sources of American power, the nature of the post-World War II world order, and how demographic changes, geopolitics, and the shale revolution are leading the 21st century world into chaos.\u003cbr\u003e \"The Shale Revolution and a World Without America\" ​​delves deeper into how the shale revolution, which began in earnest in the United States after 2014, became possible and how it will transform the world as a game changer.\u003cbr\u003e Furthermore, it presents with remarkable analytical power why the superpower United States is withdrawing from maintaining world order and what geopolitical conflicts will unfold as a result in the power centers of the Eastern Hemisphere.\u003cbr\u003e In particular, the geopolitical analysis of the series of conflicts that will unfold between China, Japan, and Korea in East Asia in the future can be considered a textbook on East Asian geopolitics.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003e \u003cbr\u003eWhy America Is Destroying the World Order\u003cbr\u003e The world feels America's influence more deeply through its absence.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e Peter Zeihan argues that the current world order stems from America's global strategy to counter the Soviet empire.\u003cbr\u003e It is seen as a way to buy off its allies economically and give them its markets in order to build a security alliance against the Soviet empire.\u003cbr\u003e But the Soviet empire collapsed over 30 years ago.\u003cbr\u003e Russia is not the Soviet Union, and China cannot become the Soviet Union.\u003cbr\u003e Rather, the one who benefits most from the free trade order is China, which is challenging its hegemony.\u003cbr\u003e Both security alliances and free trade have now outlived their usefulness.\u003cbr\u003e Moreover, the United States has already achieved energy self-sufficiency through the shale revolution.\u003cbr\u003e America no longer has anything to be sorry about in the world, and the world has come to regret America.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e \u003cbr\u003eIn the 21st century, the United States remains a superpower, but it is becoming less involved in world affairs.\u003cbr\u003e The security alliance led by the United States is being dismantled or weakened.\u003cbr\u003e The North Atlantic Treaty Organization becomes a dead letter.\u003cbr\u003e Russia is not strong enough to threaten Germany and Western Europe, and Western Europe is not weak enough to be occupied by Russia.\u003cbr\u003e Moreover, Germany depends on Russia for more than 35% of its energy.\u003cbr\u003e The United States will be watching the world descend into chaos for a considerable period of time.\u003cbr\u003e It leaves its potential competitors in a situation where they are at odds with each other.\u003cbr\u003e We cannot allow competitors to continue to rise through market access to the United States.\u003cbr\u003e Even former allies will no longer allow unilateral market access.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e But the moment the United States withdraws from Europe, the Middle East, and Northeast Asia, the Eastern Hemisphere will be torn apart by geopolitical conflict. \u003cbr\u003eParadoxically, America's absence has allowed it to increase its presence and gain a strategic advantage.\u003cbr\u003e Everyone will need America, but America will not need the world very much.\u003cbr\u003e The United States is in a position of overwhelming advantage when dealing with individual countries, whether on security or market issues.\u003cbr\u003e If you have something that will interest the United States, you're lucky.\u003cbr\u003e Most countries that do not even have that are helplessly dragged into the world's chaos.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e \u003cb\u003e\u003cbr\u003eHow the Shale Revolution Will Change the World\u003cbr\u003e The powerful link between the world and America is broken.\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e Oil is not just the fuel that lights up our lights and makes our cars run.\u003cbr\u003e It is used as a material to make almost all things.\u003cbr\u003e Without oil, there would be no internet, no cell phones, and no proper agriculture.\u003cbr\u003e In 2006, the United States imported 12.4 mbpd of oil. \u003cbr\u003eThis is more than the combined imports of Japan, China, and Germany.\u003cbr\u003e By 2016, the United States was nearly energy self-sufficient, and by 2019, it would become a net energy exporter.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e The U.S. shale industry suffered significant losses during the oil price wars, but survived three revolutions.\u003cbr\u003e Even now, technological innovation continues to lower the break-even price.\u003cbr\u003e North America has some of the world's largest and best shale deposits.\u003cbr\u003e More importantly, only the United States has the geology, legal and regulatory framework, available capital, and a workforce with the technology and experience to mine shale.\u003cbr\u003e From a geopolitical perspective, the shale revolution is a purely American event.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e \u003cbr\u003eThe question now is not whether shale will become the core of the U.S. energy industry, but what the world will look like when the U.S. is no longer tied to global energy markets.\u003cbr\u003e This book analyzes the changes taking place in the U.S. shale industry and the impact these changes will have on the global system.\u003cbr\u003e If the United States no longer imports energy from outside North America, it would not only sever the most crucial link connecting the United States to the world.\u003cbr\u003e Reindustrialization in the United States will accelerate the collapse of the world order, leading to a series of widespread military conflicts that will shape the world for the next two decades.\u003cbr\u003e The shale revolution will be a game changer that will transform the 21st century world order.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e \u003cb\u003e\u003cbr\u003eThe moment America lets go, the world becomes a geopolitical battlefield.\u003c\/b\u003e  \u003cbr\u003eThree wars are coming that will shatter the world.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e The United States no longer intervenes directly in military conflicts occurring in the power centers of the Eastern Hemisphere.\u003cbr\u003e As soon as the possibility of American intervention is judged low, Russian troops cross the Ukrainian border.\u003cbr\u003e With the dissolution of the Soviet Union in 1991, Russia's borders were pushed back significantly, but the length of the border to defend actually grew longer.\u003cbr\u003e The buffer zone has shrunk and the distance from the border to Moscow has become shorter.\u003cbr\u003e With its population rapidly declining, Russia's strategic position is deteriorating from merely precarious to catastrophic.\u003cbr\u003e The best option for Russia is to change its geopolitical situation so that it becomes a country that can be sufficiently defended by a small army.\u003cbr\u003e Russia's only option for securing the more secure borders it desires is expansion. \u003cbr\u003eIf Russia wants to survive its population decline, it has no choice but to absorb its neighbors, including Ukraine, Belarus, the Baltic states, and Armenia.\u003cbr\u003e A devastating military conflict between Russia and Europe, spread over a vast area, would define the borders between Europe and Russia for decades to come.\u003cbr\u003e The key to this war is not how the United States, but how Germany will respond to Russia's provocations.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e With no global alliances to defend, no global trade to protect for global alliances, and no global energy flows to protect for global trade, stability in the Middle East is no longer a primary concern for the United States.\u003cbr\u003e The number of US troops stationed in the Middle East, which once exceeded 250,000, now stands at around 15,000.\u003cbr\u003e Even the largest aircraft carriers are out of the Persian Gulf for more than half the year. \u003cbr\u003eWith the US withdrawal, the Middle East is returning to the pre-Bretton Woods balance of power, and the conflict between Iran and Saudi Arabia, both of which are vying for regional hegemony, has already reached a critical point.\u003cbr\u003e Just as they become convinced that the US will not intervene, Iranian forces cross the desert to seize control of Saudi Arabia's oil fields.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e Regardless of the outcome of the two wars, the world, except for the North American continent, and especially Northeast Asia, will face a serious energy crisis.\u003cbr\u003e The countries of Northeast Asia, located at the end of the supply chain and furthest from the Persian Gulf, not only have to pay much higher prices than other countries, but may not even have access to crude oil. \u003cbr\u003eFor countries like China, Japan, and South Korea, the only way to keep their economies functioning is to sail thousands of miles to the Persian Gulf, buy what little crude oil remains, and then escort the tankers back the long way.\u003cbr\u003e China and Japan, which need to secure and transport stable crude oil supplies and control strongholds in the South China Sea and Southeast Asia, will engage in a naval war, and neighboring countries will also be swept up in it.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e \u003cb\u003e\u003cbr\u003eWho Will Win the East Asian Tanker War?\u003cbr\u003e If China and Japan clash, what are Korea's options?\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e The Japanese Navy, the second most powerful naval force in the world, is powerful enough to engage the main US fleet at a moment's notice.\u003cbr\u003e If the United States decides to step back from East Asia, it will effectively hand over the seas in this region to Japan.\u003cbr\u003e Japan's geographical location gives it the ability to exert forces far beyond its own military power. \u003cbr\u003eJapan's Honshu island curves eastward into the Pacific Ocean, making it difficult to access, and any attack from the Asian mainland would require overcoming a series of mountain ranges.\u003cbr\u003e This is why historically, Japan's major islands have never been properly invaded.\u003cbr\u003e Japan is also highly adaptable to the volatile global energy supply situation and possesses the strategic flexibility to secure any energy source from any partner.\u003cbr\u003e Moreover, the Sakhalin oil field, a secret weapon, is nearby.\u003cbr\u003e The only opponent to which Japan is truly vulnerable is another country with a powerful navy capable of cutting off Japan's supply lines and attacking Japan from the east without the support of land-based air power.\u003cbr\u003e China is definitely not.\u003cbr\u003e \u003cbr\u003eAlthough China's dependence on imported oil is relatively low compared to Japan's, in absolute terms, the amount of oil China needs to import is 8 mbpd, which is twice that of Japan.\u003cbr\u003e China will do whatever it takes to import more oil.\u003cbr\u003e China relies on far more open sea routes and markets than Japan.\u003cbr\u003e Connections with the global market are virtually the foundation of China's system.\u003cbr\u003e If the United States no longer plays a role in ensuring the safety of the world's sea lanes for all nations and the trade system collapses, Japan will fall into a multi-year recession, while China will lose its economic and political cohesion.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e If military conflicts in Europe and the Middle East lead to an energy crisis, China and Japan will not only have to compete for drastically reduced energy supplies, but also for naval bases to secure sea lanes. \u003cbr\u003eBecause Japan and Taiwan completely block its north and east, China has no choice but to sail south.\u003cbr\u003e Ultimately, the South China Sea is experiencing a repeat of the armed conflicts that erupted during World War II over control of the region's waterways.\u003cbr\u003e Peter Zeihan says that regardless of whether South Korea allies with China or Japan, it is Japan that will effectively form an alliance with all the countries bordering the sea routes that South Korea uses to import energy and raw materials and export goods.\u003cbr\u003e It may seem obvious who Korea should join hands with, but it is not so obvious whether it will be able to make that obvious choice.\u003cbr\u003e Ultimately, if South Korea misplays its strategy, the East Asian tanker war could end up as a short sequel, with Japan following China in trampling on South Korea's dreams.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e \u003cb\u003e\u003cbr\u003eWhere is the United States, the superpower, in a world of chaos?\u003c\/b\u003e \u003cbr\u003eAmerica's 21st-century global strategy is revealed.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e As the United States withdraws from maintaining world order and geopolitical conflicts erupt around the world, no country has the will or capacity to upset the United States.\u003cbr\u003e America's traditional competitors, Russia, China, and Iran, also do not necessarily seek to provoke conflict with the United States.\u003cbr\u003e As a maritime power, the core of America's strategic direction was to control the oceans and use that control to manipulate world events to its advantage.\u003cbr\u003e Because of the Bretton Woods system, the United States had to shoulder the responsibility of managing world affairs from land, but now it is returning to being a traditional maritime power.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e The United States, a continental economy, has very little dependence on external factors.\u003cbr\u003e In the United States, global trade accounts for only 8.25% of GDP for exports and 12.9% for imports. \u003cbr\u003eExcluding trade with Canada and Mexico, both export and import shares fall by a third.\u003cbr\u003e If the Bretton Woods system were to be dismantled, free access to the US market would no longer be possible.\u003cbr\u003e Now each country must negotiate individually with the United States.\u003cbr\u003e America's trading partners must offer something the United States wants before they can trade with the United States.\u003cbr\u003e Moreover, thanks to its natural geography, the shale revolution, and the millennial generation, the United States already has everything it needs.\u003cbr\u003e And the moment a tanker or cargo ship comes under fire in Northern Europe, the Persian Gulf, or East Asia, shipping costs soar and stability plummets.\u003cbr\u003e Ultimately, a significant portion of the world's manufacturing will return to North America.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e The United States will avoid direct intervention until it determines that the chaos and dysfunction caused by disorder are unduly detrimental to its own interests. \u003cbr\u003eWhile the Eastern Hemisphere descended into chaos and war, the United States built a group of partners centered around the Five Eyes countries: Canada, the United Kingdom, Australia, and New Zealand.\u003cbr\u003e Some countries, such as Japan and France, may gain membership.\u003cbr\u003e Peter Zeihan is not sure whether South Korea will join the group of American partners.\u003cbr\u003e In a world of chaos, American foreign policy takes on a form similar to that of \"dollar diplomacy,\" which was America's foreign policy before World War I.\u003cbr\u003e This book analyzes in detail how the United States pursued dollar diplomacy to bring Southeast Asia and Latin America, relatively safe from global chaos, under its influence.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e \u003cb\u003e\u003cbr\u003eHow will Korea control its destiny in the coming world of chaos?\u003c\/b\u003e  \u003cbr\u003eThe only way for Korea to escape the shackles of geopolitics is through an alliance with an extra-regional power.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e As President Trump declared, the United States is no longer the world's market or the world's policeman, and the United States has no intention or need to continue to play a role in maintaining world order.\u003cbr\u003e The US-led security alliance has effectively lost its strategic value, and the shale revolution has strategically liberated the United States from the Middle East and the world.\u003cbr\u003e If you want to block the challenge of China, which has emerged as a hegemonic challenger by leveraging the free trade order you have established, you can simply dismantle the free trade order.\u003cbr\u003e If the United States withdraws from maintaining world order, geopolitical conflicts that have been suppressed by the United States will erupt again in the power centers of the Eastern Hemisphere. \u003cbr\u003eEurope, the Middle East, and East Asia are all dragged into a world of endless war and survival of the fittest.\u003cbr\u003e This is amidst a looming demographic crisis and a shrinking global economy.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e Korean geopolitics is a mess.\u003cbr\u003e Peter Zeihan writes in the preface to the Korean edition: “Korea is returning to the past it so fears.\u003cbr\u003e And it's natural to be afraid.\u003cbr\u003e If the United States withdraws, Korea's dire geographic conditions will once again be revealed.\u003cbr\u003e Korea is stuck between China, an opponent it has never defeated on land, and Japan, an opponent it is far superior to at sea.”\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e Is there any way for Korea to break free from the shackles of this age-old geopolitics? For the past 70 years, Korea has been part of the American world. \u003cbr\u003eFor the first time in history, neither China nor Japan threatened Korea's security, and it achieved remarkable economic growth through free access to the U.S. market.\u003cbr\u003e If a world without the United States were to emerge, South Korea would lose its greatest strategic asset.\u003cbr\u003e The United States came to Korea to protect the free world from the Soviet communist forces.\u003cbr\u003e South Korea was a testing ground for America's commitment to the free world.\u003cbr\u003e Now that the Soviet empire has collapsed, South Korea must ask itself the hard question of what strategic value it holds to the United States.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e As Peter Zeihan predicts, China is not in a position to challenge American hegemony, and instead faces a difficult situation of internal collapse.\u003cbr\u003e In this case, the likelihood of the United States continuing to be militarily involved in East Asia decreases.\u003cbr\u003e However, it is difficult to predict when that will be. \u003cbr\u003eSouth Korea should note that while the United States is concerned about China's rise, it also does not want Japan to dominate the Asian sea lanes as it did during World War II.\u003cbr\u003e Without the United States, Korea could become a decisive variable in the coming Sino-Japanese confrontation, or it could become their tragic battleground.\u003cbr\u003e Without Korea, the United States will also have difficulty controlling the Sino-Japanese conflict and its aftermath.\u003cbr\u003e For South Korea, the United States is the only way to escape the geopolitical shackles of being caught between China and Japan.\u003cbr\u003e For the United States, South Korea could be a strategic choice for controlling both China and Japan simultaneously.\u003cbr\u003e The future of the 21st-century alliance between South Korea and the United States depends on how much strategic value they share with each other.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e This book is a textbook on 21st century geopolitics. \u003cbr\u003eAll political, military, and economic events taking place anywhere in the world are consistently explained and understood within a geopolitical context.\u003cbr\u003e In particular, this book deals with the geopolitical conditions of Korea, China, and Japan more deeply than any other book.\u003cbr\u003e I recommend this book to anyone concerned about Korea's future. \u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003c\/b\u003e\n\u003c\/div\u003e\n\u003cdiv\u003e\u003c\/div\u003e\n\u003c\/div\u003e\n\u003c\/div\u003e\n\n\n\u003c\/div\u003e\n\n\u003ccenter\u003e\u003ctable\u003e\u003ctr\u003e\u003ctd style=\"height:10px\"\u003e\u003c\/td\u003e\u003c\/tr\u003e\u003c\/table\u003e\u003c\/center\u003e\n\n\u003ccenter\u003e\u003ctable\u003e\u003ctr\u003e\u003ctd style=\"height:10px\"\u003e\u003c\/td\u003e\u003c\/tr\u003e\u003c\/table\u003e\u003c\/center\u003e\n\n\u003cdiv style=\"width:95%;padding-top:20px;padding-bottom:20px\"\u003e\n\n\u003cdiv style=\"text-align:left;font-size:16px;font-weight:bold;padding-bottom:20px\"\u003e GOODS SPECIFICS \u003c\/div\u003e\n\n\u003cdiv style=\"text-align:left;font-size:14px;line-height:1.6em;\"\u003e\n\n\u003cdiv style=\"width:100%;margin-bottom:5px;line-height:1.6em;font-size:14px\"\u003e - \u003cstrong\u003eDate of issue:\u003c\/strong\u003e January 29, 2019\u003c\/div\u003e\n\n\u003cdiv style=\"width:100%;margin-bottom:5px;line-height:1.6em;font-size:14px\"\u003e - \u003cstrong\u003ePage count, weight, size:\u003c\/strong\u003e 544 pages | 776g | 152*225*35mm\u003c\/div\u003e\n\n\u003cdiv style=\"width:100%;margin-bottom:5px;line-height:1.6em;font-size:14px\"\u003e - \u003cstrong\u003eISBN13:\u003c\/strong\u003e 9788989566755\u003c\/div\u003e\n\n\u003cdiv style=\"width:100%;margin-bottom:5px;line-height:1.6em;font-size:14px\"\u003e - \u003cstrong\u003eISBN10:\u003c\/strong\u003e 8989566754 \u003c\/div\u003e\n\n\n\u003c\/div\u003e\n\n\n\u003c\/div\u003e\n\n\n\u003c\/div\u003e\n\n\u003ccenter\u003e\n\n\u003ccenter\u003e\u003ctable\u003e\u003ctr\u003e\u003ctd style=\"height:10px\"\u003e\u003c\/td\u003e\u003c\/tr\u003e\u003c\/table\u003e\u003c\/center\u003e\n\n\u003ccenter\u003e\u003ctable\u003e\u003ctr\u003e\u003ctd style=\"height:10px\"\u003e\u003c\/td\u003e\u003c\/tr\u003e\u003c\/table\u003e\u003c\/center\u003e\n\n\u003cspan\u003e\u003c\/span\u003e\n\n\u003c\/center\u003e\n\n\n\u003c\/center\u003e","brand":"LIBRAIRIE COREENNE","offers":[{"title":"Default Title","offer_id":43893981151274,"sku":"105997","price":31.0,"currency_code":"EUR","in_stock":true}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/0683\/2750\/5962\/files\/13ec2d1e1659d28d1019640fabf292bf.jpg?v=1765427874","url":"https:\/\/librairie.coreenne.fr\/en\/products\/105997","provider":"LIBRAIRIE COREENNE","version":"1.0","type":"link"}