{"product_id":"111919","title":"The world of each for himself and geopolitics ","description":"\u003ccenter\u003e\u003cdiv style=\"text-align:center\"\u003e\u003cimg src=\"https:\/\/tmgdisk01.cafe24.com\/images\/vs\/4172\/sv\/3jYEgE6TXszD1toO5Lq4H5eo5BfHhP.png?v=1765124935\" style=\"max-width:100%;max-height:10px\"\u003e\u003c\/div\u003e\u003c\/center\u003e\n\u003ccenter\u003e\u003ctable\u003e\u003ctr\u003e\u003ctd style=\"height:10px\"\u003e\u003c\/td\u003e\u003c\/tr\u003e\u003c\/table\u003e\u003c\/center\u003e\n\u003ccenter\u003e\u003ctable\u003e\u003ctr\u003e\u003ctd style=\"height:10px\"\u003e\u003c\/td\u003e\u003c\/tr\u003e\u003c\/table\u003e\u003c\/center\u003e\n\u003ccenter\u003e\n\n\u003cdiv style=\"width:95%\"\u003e\n\n\u003cdiv style=\"text-align:center;font-size:30px;font-weight:bolder;line-height:1.6em\"\u003e The world of each for himself and geopolitics \u003c\/div\u003e\n\n\u003ccenter\u003e\u003ctable\u003e\u003ctr\u003e\u003ctd style=\"height:10px\"\u003e\u003c\/td\u003e\u003c\/tr\u003e\u003c\/table\u003e\u003c\/center\u003e\n\n\u003ccenter\u003e\u003ctable\u003e\u003ctr\u003e\u003ctd style=\"height:10px\"\u003e\u003c\/td\u003e\u003c\/tr\u003e\u003c\/table\u003e\u003c\/center\u003e\n\n\u003ccenter\u003e\u003ctable\u003e\u003ctr\u003e\u003ctd style=\"height:10px\"\u003e\u003c\/td\u003e\u003c\/tr\u003e\u003c\/table\u003e\u003c\/center\u003e\n\n\u003ccenter\u003e\u003ctable\u003e\u003ctr\u003e\u003ctd style=\"height:10px\"\u003e\u003c\/td\u003e\u003c\/tr\u003e\u003c\/table\u003e\u003c\/center\u003e\n\n\u003cdiv style=\"border-bottom:1px;border-bottom-style:dotted;border-color:;padding-bottom:20px\"\u003e\u003ccenter\u003e\u003ctable align=\"center\" width=\"100%\"\u003e\u003ctbody style=\"border:0px\"\u003e\n\n\u003ctr\u003e\u003ctd align=\"center\" style=\"line-height:1.2em;text-align:center;font-size:18px;color:black;font-weight:bold;padding-bottom:20px;\"\u003e\u003c\/td\u003e\u003c\/tr\u003e\n\n\u003ctr\u003e\u003ctd style=\"text-align:center\"\u003e\u003cimg src=\"https:\/\/image.yes24.com\/goods\/97247707\/XL\" style=\"max-width:100%;height:auto\"\u003e\u003c\/td\u003e\u003c\/tr\u003e\n\n\n\u003c\/tbody\u003e\u003c\/table\u003e\u003c\/center\u003e\u003c\/div\u003e\n\n\u003ccenter\u003e\u003ctable\u003e\u003ctr\u003e\u003ctd style=\"height:10px\"\u003e\u003c\/td\u003e\u003c\/tr\u003e\u003c\/table\u003e\u003c\/center\u003e\n\n\u003ccenter\u003e\u003ctable\u003e\u003ctr\u003e\u003ctd style=\"height:10px\"\u003e\u003c\/td\u003e\u003c\/tr\u003e\u003c\/table\u003e\u003c\/center\u003e\n\n\u003cdiv style=\"width:95%;{split_style6}padding-top:20px;padding-bottom:20px\"\u003e\n\n\u003cdiv style=\"text-align:left;font-size:16px;font-weight:bold;padding-bottom:20px\"\u003e Description \u003c\/div\u003e\n\n\u003cdiv style=\"text-align:left;word-break:break-all;font-size:14px;line-height:1.6em;\"\u003e\n\n\u003cdiv\u003e\u003ch5\u003e \u003cb\u003eBook Introduction\u003c\/b\u003e\n\u003c\/h5\u003e\u003c\/div\u003e\n\u003cdiv\u003e\n\u003cdiv\u003e\u003cdiv\u003e \u003cb\u003eEach for himself: A scenario or an imminent future?\u003cbr\u003e The Biden Era: Is America Back?\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e In January 2021, US President Biden declared in his inaugural address that “America is back.”\u003cbr\u003e There are predictions that the Biden administration will abandon Trump's America First policy, restore multilateralism, and re-lead the alliance system.\u003cbr\u003e However, this book argues that the US-led alliance system, a legacy of the Cold War, is disintegrating and the world order that the US has built and is responsible for is soon to come to an end.\u003cbr\u003e Furthermore, he says that China, far from replacing the United States, is on the verge of decline and collapse. \u003cbr\u003eThey say the collapse will begin not in a generation, but in the 2020s, and by the 2030s the world will no longer be the world we knew.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e Peter Zeihan, an expert in geopolitics, energy, and demographics, unfolds these astonishing predictions in his third book, Disunited Nations.\u003cbr\u003e Zaihan, author of “American Hegemony and Geopolitics in the 21st Century” and “The Shale Revolution and a World Without America,” has analyzed the flow of international affairs and predicted the rise and fall of nations based on geopolitics and demographics.\u003cbr\u003e Peter Zeihan has consistently argued that the United States is withdrawing from the world order.\u003cbr\u003e In fact, he says that rather than just letting go, they will actively destroy the world order. \u003cbr\u003eThis book deals specifically with what would happen if the United States were to withdraw, what would happen in a world without the United States, what countries would rise and which would fall.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e Peter Zeihan says Russia has already entered a phase of national decline, and China will soon follow suit.\u003cbr\u003e In a world without strategic threats, the US-led alliance system would be weakened or dismantled.\u003cbr\u003e American troops will withdraw from Europe, the Middle East, and eventually East Asia.\u003cbr\u003e Market access permitted to support that alliance system will be restricted, and access to energy and resources and safe maritime transport will not be guaranteed.\u003cbr\u003e Meanwhile, demographic problems and capital shortages hit countries like a tsunami.\u003cbr\u003e The world is divided into a relatively stable and vibrant American world and a world without America, where nations must compete for power and survival. \u003cbr\u003eA world without America would soon become a world of each for himself.\u003cbr\u003e During the era of order, some countries that had been overshadowed by the United States rose to become regional powers, while others that had benefited from the order fell into decline.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e To what extent does geopolitics determine international affairs and the fate of nations? How will demographic issues destabilize the global economy? If the world is soon divided into an American world and a world without the United States, where will Korea fit in? Readers face intellectual challenges as immense as those in Peter Zeihan's previous works in this book.\u003cbr\u003e\n\n\u003c\/div\u003e\u003c\/div\u003e\n\u003cdiv\u003e\u003cul\u003e\u003cli\u003e You can preview some of the book's contents.\u003cbr\u003e \u003cspan\u003ePreview\u003c\/span\u003e\n\n\u003c\/li\u003e\u003c\/ul\u003e\u003c\/div\u003e\n\u003c\/div\u003e\n\u003cbr\u003e\u003cdiv\u003e\u003ch5\u003e \u003cb\u003eindex\u003c\/b\u003e\n\u003c\/h5\u003e\u003c\/div\u003e\n\u003cdiv\u003e\n\u003cdiv\u003e Preface to the Korean edition\u003cbr\u003e Introduction: A Moment of Transformation\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e \u003cb\u003e01 The road we have traveled so far\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e First Age: Empire\u003cbr\u003e Second Age: Order\u003cbr\u003e The Third Era: Borderless Order\u003cbr\u003e America in the Third Age\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e \u003cb\u003e02 How to Rule the World Part 1: The American Model\u003c\/b\u003e \u003cbr\u003eAppeal 1: Guarantee physical security for all.\u003cbr\u003e Appeasement Policy 2: Guarantee maritime safety for all countries.\u003cbr\u003e Appeasement 3: Allow unrestricted market access.\u003cbr\u003e Appeasement 4: Maintaining the Reserve Currency\u003cbr\u003e Beyond the border\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e \u003cb\u003e03 How to Rule the World Part 2: The British Model\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e Threat 1: Invincible Strategic Position\u003cbr\u003e Threat 2: A powerful and flexible naval force\u003cbr\u003e Threat 3: Massive technological superiority\u003cbr\u003e China's reality\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e \u003cb\u003e04 China: The End of the Success Myth\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e 1.\u003cbr\u003e The possibility of territorial survival\u003cbr\u003e 2.\u003cbr\u003e agricultural capacity\u003cbr\u003e 3.\u003cbr\u003e population structure\u003cbr\u003e 4.\u003cbr\u003e Energy Access\u003cbr\u003e The end of the world as we know it\u003cbr\u003e China's report card\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e \u003cb\u003e05 Japan: Chronic waiting\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e Ascension of the Rising Sun\u003cbr\u003e Japan under the current world order\u003cbr\u003e Superpower Reactivated\u003cbr\u003e Turning a weakness into a strength once again\u003cbr\u003e Dealing with China\u003cbr\u003e Asia after China\u003cbr\u003e A few words of warning\u003cbr\u003e Japan's report card\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e \u003cb\u003e06 Russia: The Failed Superpower\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e cursed land\u003cbr\u003e tyranny\u003cbr\u003e Failure of leadership  \u003cbr\u003eBut there is another really serious problem.\u003cbr\u003e Russia, where fulfilling wishes becomes a headache\u003cbr\u003e A Look Around Russia: Current Russian Borders\u003cbr\u003e Russia's report card\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e \u003cb\u003e07 Germany: A Superpower Faces Backlash\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e The Curse of Perfection\u003cbr\u003e Last remaining German, when you go out, turn off the lights and go out?\u003cbr\u003e A house of cards\u003cbr\u003e Last attempt\u003cbr\u003e Germany's report card\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e \u003cb\u003e08 France: Struggling to Become a Leader\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e French power\u003cbr\u003e Geopolitics of the Margins, Part 1: Nationalism\u003cbr\u003e Geopolitics of the Margins, Part 2: Industrialization\u003cbr\u003e France under the current world order, Part 1: Those were the good times.\u003cbr\u003e France under the current world order, Part 2: The Worst of Times\u003cbr\u003e Problem 1: Staying away from Britain\u003cbr\u003e Problem 2: Identity Issues\u003cbr\u003e Problem 3: Southern Adjacent Areas\u003cbr\u003e French report card\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e \u003cb\u003e09 Iran: The Ancient Superpower\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e The power of water\u003cbr\u003e That alone is not enough\u003cbr\u003e Overthrowing the world order\u003cbr\u003e Iran's report card\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e \u003cb\u003e10 Saudi Arabia: Destroying the Middle East Against Iran\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e Incredible origins\u003cbr\u003e politics of cruelty  \u003cbr\u003ehowever...\u003cbr\u003e The world order is holding on tight.\u003cbr\u003e Option 1: Find a new country to provide security.\u003cbr\u003e Option 2: Build a more indigenous defense capability.\u003cbr\u003e Option 3: Burn it\u003cbr\u003e The geopolitics of arson\u003cbr\u003e Saudi Arabia's report card\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e \u003cb\u003e11 Türkiye: The Awakening Superpower\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e Marmara on land, Marmara on water\u003cbr\u003e Reset history\u003cbr\u003e Return to the Future\u003cbr\u003e Front Yard: Bulgaria and Romania\u003cbr\u003e Targeting the Vital Spot: Ukraine and Beyond\u003cbr\u003e Backyard: Iraq and Syria\u003cbr\u003e Reliving the Past: The Eastern Mediterranean\u003cbr\u003e Going for the big one: Iran's Azerbaijanis\u003cbr\u003e Other countries have a say\u003cbr\u003e Türkiye's report card\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e \u003cb\u003e12 Brazil: The sun is setting\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e Brazil's geographical constraints\u003cbr\u003e Force it to work\u003cbr\u003e There are sunrises in Brazil too\u003cbr\u003e fear of falling\u003cbr\u003e Okay, now here's some good news.\u003cbr\u003e Brazil's report card\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e \u003cb\u003e13 Argentina: The Politics of Self-Destruction\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e Independence and the Future\u003cbr\u003e Come to one's senses\u003cbr\u003e Disconnected superpower  \u003cbr\u003eDefining success\u003cbr\u003e Argentina's report card\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e \u003cb\u003e14 The Coming Chaos: The Future of American Foreign Policy\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e Context 1: Escape from the Global War on Terror\u003cbr\u003e Context 2: The Remnants of World Order\u003cbr\u003e Context 3: Strategic Reduction\u003cbr\u003e Context 4: Cross-Border Profits\u003cbr\u003e Context 5: Desperately Seeking Instability\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e \u003cb\u003e15 The United States: A Superpower That Distances Itself from the World\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e Category 1: Coalitions of the Will (also called alliances)\u003cbr\u003e Category 2: Countries competing for America's favor\u003cbr\u003e Third Class: Hired Allies\u003cbr\u003e America's Report Card\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e \u003cb\u003e16 The Present on the Brink of Destruction: The Dawn of the Fourth Age\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e Acknowledgements\u003cbr\u003e NOTES\u003c\/div\u003e\n\u003cdiv\u003e\u003c\/div\u003e\n\u003c\/div\u003e\n\u003cbr\u003e\u003cdiv\u003e\u003ch5\u003e \u003cb\u003ePublisher's Review\u003c\/b\u003e\n\u003c\/h5\u003e\u003c\/div\u003e\n\u003cdiv\u003e\n\u003cdiv\u003e \u003cb\u003eBiden's America: Grappling with the Strategic Remnants of the Old Order\u003cbr\u003e Why America Is Withdrawing from the World\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e \u003cbr\u003eWill Biden's America return to the pre-Trump era, or can it? Will it strengthen NATO in Europe against Russia, keep US aircraft carriers patrolling the Persian Gulf and the South China Sea, and continue to allow free access to its own markets while upholding WTO rules?\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e Peter Zeihan argues that the current world order originated in the aftermath of World War II when the United States built an alliance system to counter the strategic threat posed by the Soviet Union.\u003cbr\u003e The United States, bordered by two oceans, is so secure that it does not need allies.\u003cbr\u003e However, the United States stationed troops in Europe and Asia and opened its markets to its allies in order to build an alliance system against the communist Soviet empire. \u003cbr\u003eIn this way, Europe was revived, East Asian countries joined the ranks of wealthy nations, and even China joined the American camp, experiencing remarkable economic growth.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e But the Soviet Union collapsed long ago, and Russia is in such a precarious position that it has to worry about its own national existence.\u003cbr\u003e Although China has risen economically and militarily today, Peter Zeihan argues that it cannot pose the same strategic threat as the Soviet Union.\u003cbr\u003e China's success was built on the foundation of the world order provided by the United States.\u003cbr\u003e Because of this order, China was able to maintain unity and not be divided despite its extreme geographical conditions.\u003cbr\u003e If China is excluded from that order or if that order itself collapses, China will also collapse.\u003cbr\u003e In order to destroy China, we must destroy that order.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e Within the United States, “America First” cuts across both the left and the right. \u003cbr\u003eThere is widespread resentment and fatigue with America's involvement and responsibility in world affairs.\u003cbr\u003e This is why Joe Biden's victory cannot be a defeat for 'America First.'\u003cbr\u003e Joe Biden's America will grapple with the strategic remnants of the old order.\u003cbr\u003e A post-Biden America may break away from the world even more radically than Trump's America.\u003cbr\u003e This book analyzes in detail the five contexts in which American foreign policy operates today and which context it will ultimately fall into.\u003cbr\u003e The United States struggles with the strategic remnants of the Cold War, but ultimately distances itself from the world.\u003cbr\u003e The only question is whether we will gradually move away or radically move away.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e \u003cb\u003eWhy the world is falling into chaos and China is falling\u003cbr\u003e The seizure of the Korean chemical tanker, the Armenian-Azerbaijani war, and the China-India border dispute\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e \u003cbr\u003eThe core of the world order established by the United States after World War II is security based on a global alliance system, the openness of the US market to support that alliance system, and safe maritime transportation and stable energy distribution.\u003cbr\u003e The collapse of the world order means the weakening or disappearance of all four elements.\u003cbr\u003e In January 2020, a Korean chemical tanker was seized by Iran in the Persian Gulf, but the United States has no will to respond, and South Korea has no means to respond.\u003cbr\u003e The Armenia-Azerbaijan war that broke out in 2020 effectively ended in Azerbaijan's victory.\u003cbr\u003e It heralds the rise of Türkiye in the Middle East and the Caucasus region.\u003cbr\u003e The China-India border dispute continues.\u003cbr\u003e China and India are locked in a standoff over control of each other's strategic strongholds.\u003cbr\u003e In all three cases, the United States took a step back.\u003cbr\u003e There is no will to intervene, and no need to intervene. \u003cbr\u003eAll you have to do is pretend not to know or slightly favor one side.\u003cbr\u003e In effect, a world without America, a world of chaos, has already begun.\u003cbr\u003e And this reality will become clearer with the coming fall of China.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e NATO is already a dead letter.\u003cbr\u003e French President Macron has said that NATO is brain dead.\u003cbr\u003e It is difficult to imagine the United States intervening in a European war against a weakened but still nuclear power, Russia.\u003cbr\u003e If Russia attempts to annex its neighbors as a last resort to survive as a nation, it will be a problem not for the United States but for Europe, or even for Germany.\u003cbr\u003e To avoid being drawn into such a war, American troops in Europe will be withdrawn.\u003cbr\u003e Ironically, if the US military withdraws from Europe, Russia will be in trouble. \u003cbr\u003eBecause the safety net that had been preventing Germany from becoming a military power, the United States, was removed.\u003cbr\u003e Europe's long-standing geopolitics come into play again.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e The US military continues to withdraw from the Middle East and today has a limited presence in strategic locations such as Qatar.\u003cbr\u003e American aircraft carriers do not patrol the Persian Gulf.\u003cbr\u003e If the United States no longer takes responsibility for world order, it will have no need to take responsibility for the alliance system, nor will it have any reason to take responsibility for the energy distribution that is the foundation of the alliance system.\u003cbr\u003e Besides, America has shale.\u003cbr\u003e Saudi Arabia will stop at nothing to stop Iran's hegemony.\u003cbr\u003e It would not be surprising if the two countries engage in armed conflict immediately.\u003cbr\u003e If the two countries clash, there will be a huge disruption in oil supplies.\u003cbr\u003e The American sail industry thrives, but China and East Asia face a serious energy crisis. \u003cbr\u003eFinally, US troops will also withdraw from East Asia.\u003cbr\u003e Because it will soon become clear that China cannot be a strategic threat to the United States.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e The United States will not intervene in regional conflicts in the future.\u003cbr\u003e There is no will to intervene, and no need to intervene.\u003cbr\u003e Geopolitical conflicts, big and small, occur all over the world.\u003cbr\u003e There are incidents where cargo ships are suddenly seized on the high seas.\u003cbr\u003e It's not just energy distribution that's being disrupted.\u003cbr\u003e It's not just market access that's becoming more difficult.\u003cbr\u003e Food supplies are at risk.\u003cbr\u003e China's large population does not make it strong, but rather puts it in difficult situations.\u003cbr\u003e A starving people is far more frightening than a foreign army.\u003cbr\u003e The geographical conditions that divide China are coming into play again.\u003cbr\u003e The economic crisis that China's aging population and demographic reversal will bring has not yet been factored in. \u003cbr\u003eWhat will happen if the US military withdraws from Asia and Japan's suppressed military instincts are rekindled? China will be forced to worry not about Asian hegemony, but about its own survival.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e \u003cb\u003eWhat would happen in a world without America?\u003cbr\u003e The world after 2030, similar to the world of 1900\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e This book is about the geopolitics of nations.\u003cbr\u003e We learn about the geopolitical strengths and weaknesses of the world's major countries that we were unaware of.\u003cbr\u003e We learn how advantageous or disadvantageous geographic conditions are for each country, and how effective the world order established by the United States has been in overcoming such geographical constraints.\u003cbr\u003e Whether it was World War I or World War II, the issues were ultimately security, resources, and markets.\u003cbr\u003e Whether it was Germany or Japan, in order to survive as a nation, they had to secure security, resources, and markets. \u003cbr\u003eThe reason the two countries remained peaceful after World War II was because the United States resolved it.\u003cbr\u003e The rise of East Asia's emerging economies and China's rise to become the world's second-largest economy stemmed from the American-created world order, which gave them access to energy and markets, particularly the American market.\u003cbr\u003e The mass production of soybeans and meat in Brazil's barren land was made possible by the availability of safe sea routes, massive capital movement, and market access.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e What would happen if the United States were to withdraw from the global order? Is there even a slight chance that another country could fill that role? Peter Zeihan argues that no country capable of such a role will emerge in the near future.\u003cbr\u003e Eventually, the global order will collapse and break up into regional units. \u003cbr\u003eThe struggle between nations to dominate their own regions begins.\u003cbr\u003e The era of disorder, not order, is coming.\u003cbr\u003e The regional lords return and the era of new imperialism begins.\u003cbr\u003e Global supply chains are collapsing.\u003cbr\u003e Maritime transport is no longer safe, and energy is becoming scarce and expensive.\u003cbr\u003e Brazil's food production declines, leading to a global food crisis.\u003cbr\u003e Survival, not growth, becomes the national task.\u003cbr\u003e When the age of chaos arrives, some nations will inevitably fall, but some nations that have been overshadowed by the United States will prosper.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e Russia, facing a horrific population decline, is already in decline.\u003cbr\u003e China, the country most dependent on the world order, will suffer the most from the disconnect.\u003cbr\u003e Even national unity is threatened.\u003cbr\u003e Germany is about to experience the nightmare of the past again. \u003cbr\u003eIt will become a country that has neither a proper market, resources, nor security.\u003cbr\u003e Brazil, now short of capital, falls back into the curse of land and climate.\u003cbr\u003e France, which has benefited the least from world order, becomes the country that benefits the most from a world of disorder.\u003cbr\u003e Turkey will not only be a power in the Middle East, but will also bring into its sphere of influence such helpless Eastern European countries as Romania and Bulgaria.\u003cbr\u003e And if the United States withdraws from East Asia, Japan's geopolitical position at a strategic point in the Western Pacific will once again be in play.\u003cbr\u003e The country that will have Southeast Asia under its sphere of influence and dominate the South China Sea will be Japan, not China.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e Peter Zeihan says the world after 2030 will resemble the world in 1900, before World War I.\u003cbr\u003e Even at this time, the United States was already the world's largest economy, but it did not intervene in world affairs. \u003cbr\u003eAs the nations of Europe competed and fought among themselves, they focused on their internal affairs and consolidated their dominance over the Western Hemisphere.\u003cbr\u003e America, with no major security, market, resources, food, or even population problems, enjoys a splendid solitude by distancing itself from the world.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e \u003cb\u003eThe American world is not disappearing.\u003cbr\u003e It just gets smaller\u003cbr\u003e Countries that achieve what they want but lose something bigger\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e As Peter Zeihan puts it, the United States will have to step down from its role as the world's security and order-keeping power, even though it has been meddlesome.\u003cbr\u003e With the long war in the Middle East coming to an end, the process may have already begun.\u003cbr\u003e The period of inertia that has persisted since the collapse of the Soviet Union is coming to an end.\u003cbr\u003e The United States will come to perceive that its security will not be threatened in any way by the withdrawal of its troops from Europe, the Middle East, and East Asia.\u003cbr\u003e Rather, there will be no need to be drawn into the war of an ally. \u003cbr\u003eThere is no need to bear the enormous costs of maintaining an alliance system.\u003cbr\u003e Above all, there is no need to buy off allies or grant them generous access to their domestic markets in the name of alliances.\u003cbr\u003e America will withdraw from the world, but it will become safer and relatively stronger.\u003cbr\u003e Outside the Western Hemisphere, major powers compete for regional hegemony, but are careful not to displease the United States.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e The world is divided into a world without America and a world with America.\u003cbr\u003e The United States will have a much smaller alliance system than it has today.\u003cbr\u003e Canada and Mexico are increasingly tied to a single economic bloc with the United States.\u003cbr\u003e Even now, excluding Canada and Mexico, U.S. exports account for only 3% of GDP, while imports account for only about 4%.\u003cbr\u003e Alliances with some like-minded countries, such as the UK, continue. \u003cbr\u003eWe will generally maintain close relations with countries in South America, Australia, and Southeast Asia.\u003cbr\u003e There will be no such connection with Germany.\u003cbr\u003e We will maintain friendly relations with Japan as long as Japan does not become too greedy about Southeast Asia.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e Ironically, a world without the United States would leave the countries that desperately wanted it in an awkward position.\u003cbr\u003e Russia, Iran, and China are such countries.\u003cbr\u003e If the United States withdraws, a power vacuum will be created, stability will disappear, and instability will take hold.\u003cbr\u003e Instability triggers security competition and returns us to the pre-World Order era.\u003cbr\u003e Russia, Iran, and China want the United States to leave their region.\u003cbr\u003e North Korea is the same.\u003cbr\u003e But the moment the United States leaves, these countries face an unintended situation. \u003cbr\u003eRussia faces an unstable Germany, Iran faces a deranged Saudi Arabia and a frighteningly rising Turkey.\u003cbr\u003e China faces internal divisions and a militarized Japan.\u003cbr\u003e North Korea has become a real nuisance to China.\u003cbr\u003e So what kind of reality awaits Korea?\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e \u003cb\u003eWhy Japan Is Rising Again in a World Without America\u003cbr\u003e The biggest challenge facing Korea: Japan\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e In the preface to the Korean edition, Peter Zeihan argues that the biggest challenge facing South Korea in a world of disorder without America is not North Korea, but Japan. \u003cbr\u003eHe says that Japan, “the only country that can help Korea solve its structural economic problems, the only country that can help Korea maintain access to overseas markets, and yet the only country that most Koreans do not want to associate with,” will eventually mediate all affairs in Northeast Asia on the high seas based on its powerful maritime power.\u003cbr\u003e In an age of chaos, Korea needs Japan more than any other country, but the problem is that it is more likely to confront Japan than cooperate with it.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e Japan's population is 126 million, 2.5 times that of Korea, and its economy is three times that of Korea.\u003cbr\u003e Japan's overseas net assets exceeded 400 trillion as of 2019.\u003cbr\u003e But Japan's true strength lies not in its population or economic scale, but in its geographic location.\u003cbr\u003e In some ways, Japan is the second safest country after the United States. \u003cbr\u003eHistorically, Japan has never been properly attacked from the continent.\u003cbr\u003e Compared to the English Channel, an impregnable barrier, the East China Sea and the Korea Strait are indescribably vast.\u003cbr\u003e And Japan's core is strategically isolated and safe from attack from the continent.\u003cbr\u003e Above all, Japan can reach the world's resources and markets via sea routes without interference from any major power.\u003cbr\u003e The only country that can restrain Japan is the United States, which can attack Japan's core from the eastern sea and cut off Japan's lifeline.\u003cbr\u003e If the United States withdraws from East Asia, Japan's militaristic instincts will come alive.\u003cbr\u003e They use security concerns as an excuse to justify their own aggressive actions.\u003cbr\u003e In order to avoid repeating the mistakes of the Pacific War, the US is reassured by the appearance of dealing with China on its behalf.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e \u003cbr\u003eChina has difficulty concentrating on its naval power because it has to fight against land enemies and internal divisions.\u003cbr\u003e This becomes even more so in times of chaos.\u003cbr\u003e There is no need to ask which side Southeast Asia and Taiwan will take, China or Japan.\u003cbr\u003e It goes without saying how dire South Korea's options would be if the United States were to leave East Asia.\u003cbr\u003e Peter Zeihan says that if Korea sides with China, it will be swept away along with China.\u003cbr\u003e Even if the Chinese economy survives the chaos, they say, it has nothing to gain from this mercantilist state.\u003cbr\u003e Ultimately, Korea's only way out is to maintain ties with the United States, the only country capable of containing Japan and maintaining economic vitality even in times of chaos.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e \u003cb\u003eThe End of the World as We Know It\u003cbr\u003e How Will South Korea Control Its Geopolitical Destiny?\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e Predicting the future is difficult. \u003cbr\u003eOne might question whether a world without the United States will ever become a reality.\u003cbr\u003e Even in the past, it was not easy to predict that the world of empires would end and the world of America would come.\u003cbr\u003e But no state's rule is eternal, and no order is eternal.\u003cbr\u003e The Cold War ended long ago, and the alliance system built on the premise of the Cold War cannot last forever.\u003cbr\u003e During the Cold War, China and the United States were de facto allies, but now their relationship has turned hostile.\u003cbr\u003e France is desperate to become the hegemon of Europe, and it is difficult to predict how Germany will react if it is put in a corner.\u003cbr\u003e Turkey is already anticipating a Middle East without the United States, and it would not be surprising if Saudi Arabia allied itself with Israel instead of the United States against Iran.\u003cbr\u003e If the United States no longer perceives a declining China as a threat, its alliances with Japan and South Korea will become meaningless. \u003cbr\u003eWith the US military out of East Asia, Japan will have more freedom of action.\u003cbr\u003e China also gains freedom of action.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e South Korea must seriously consider what an East Asia without the United States would mean.\u003cbr\u003e South Korea desperately needs the United States as a strategic lever to deal with China and Japan.\u003cbr\u003e But regardless of South Korea's will, the United States could leave, and according to Zaihan's prediction, that moment could come much sooner than expected.\u003cbr\u003e Even if the US military leaves Korea, it is possible that Korea will belong to an American world rather than a world without the US, but Zaihan is somewhat pessimistic about it.\u003cbr\u003e Because they believe the costs to be paid will be greater than the benefits the United States will gain.\u003cbr\u003e Peter Zeihan said that Korea is a country with little room for error. \u003cbr\u003eBut Koreans may not even be aware that they are misjudging the international situation and making mistakes.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e “The World of Each for Himself and Geopolitics” is a greater intellectual challenge than “American Hegemony and Geopolitics in the 21st Century” and “The Sail Revolution and a World Without America.”\u003cbr\u003e It is the end of the world order of the past 75 years, the end of globalization, and a warning of the great chaos to come.\u003cbr\u003e It is an agony about Korea's geopolitical fate.\u003cbr\u003e But Korea's fate is not already decided.\u003cbr\u003e Peter Zeihan says in the preface to the Korean edition:\u003cbr\u003e “For most countries, any single change in circumstances—whether the economic model runs out, the demographics collapse, or a sudden shift in geopolitics—can destroy any hope of maintaining national unity.\u003cbr\u003e But the Korean people's mentality is different. \u003cbr\u003eSurrounded by three militarily superior countries, North Korea, China, and Japan, Koreans have not been crushed by them, but rather have grown into a world-class industrial nation.\u003cbr\u003e Koreans have the tenacity to overcome difficulties.\u003cbr\u003e Korea's very existence defies all economic theory and geopolitics.\u003cbr\u003e “To survive in the era to come, Korea must not lose this uniqueness.”\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e Geopolitics doesn't tell the whole story, but without understanding geopolitics, neither proper analysis nor proper predictions can be made.\u003cbr\u003e Naturally, there is no proper strategy.\u003cbr\u003e I recommend this book to readers contemplating Korea's national strategy in the coming era of chaos. \u003cbr\u003e\n\n\u003c\/div\u003e\n\u003cdiv\u003e\u003c\/div\u003e\n\u003c\/div\u003e\n\u003c\/div\u003e\n\n\n\u003c\/div\u003e\n\n\u003ccenter\u003e\u003ctable\u003e\u003ctr\u003e\u003ctd style=\"height:10px\"\u003e\u003c\/td\u003e\u003c\/tr\u003e\u003c\/table\u003e\u003c\/center\u003e\n\n\u003ccenter\u003e\u003ctable\u003e\u003ctr\u003e\u003ctd style=\"height:10px\"\u003e\u003c\/td\u003e\u003c\/tr\u003e\u003c\/table\u003e\u003c\/center\u003e\n\n\u003cdiv style=\"width:95%;padding-top:20px;padding-bottom:20px\"\u003e\n\n\u003cdiv style=\"text-align:left;font-size:16px;font-weight:bold;padding-bottom:20px\"\u003e GOODS SPECIFICS \u003c\/div\u003e\n\n\u003cdiv style=\"text-align:left;font-size:14px;line-height:1.6em;\"\u003e\n\n\u003cdiv style=\"width:100%;margin-bottom:5px;line-height:1.6em;font-size:14px\"\u003e - \u003cstrong\u003eDate of issue:\u003c\/strong\u003e February 1, 2021\u003c\/div\u003e\n\n\u003cdiv style=\"width:100%;margin-bottom:5px;line-height:1.6em;font-size:14px\"\u003e - \u003cstrong\u003ePage count, weight, size:\u003c\/strong\u003e 496 pages | 718g | 152*225*24mm\u003c\/div\u003e\n\n\u003cdiv style=\"width:100%;margin-bottom:5px;line-height:1.6em;font-size:14px\"\u003e - \u003cstrong\u003eISBN13:\u003c\/strong\u003e 9788989566823\u003c\/div\u003e\n\n\u003cdiv style=\"width:100%;margin-bottom:5px;line-height:1.6em;font-size:14px\"\u003e - \u003cstrong\u003eISBN10:\u003c\/strong\u003e 8989566827 \u003c\/div\u003e\n\n\n\u003c\/div\u003e\n\n\n\u003c\/div\u003e\n\n\n\u003c\/div\u003e\n\n\u003ccenter\u003e\n\n\u003ccenter\u003e\u003ctable\u003e\u003ctr\u003e\u003ctd style=\"height:10px\"\u003e\u003c\/td\u003e\u003c\/tr\u003e\u003c\/table\u003e\u003c\/center\u003e\n\n\u003ccenter\u003e\u003ctable\u003e\u003ctr\u003e\u003ctd style=\"height:10px\"\u003e\u003c\/td\u003e\u003c\/tr\u003e\u003c\/table\u003e\u003c\/center\u003e\n\n\u003cspan\u003e\u003c\/span\u003e\n\n\u003c\/center\u003e\n\n\n\u003c\/center\u003e","brand":"LIBRAIRIE COREENNE","offers":[{"title":"Default Title","offer_id":43893985050666,"sku":"111919","price":31.0,"currency_code":"EUR","in_stock":true}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/0683\/2750\/5962\/files\/34fb833d3ce2ed71eb427781a53d79e4.jpg?v=1765428157","url":"https:\/\/librairie.coreenne.fr\/en\/products\/111919","provider":"LIBRAIRIE COREENNE","version":"1.0","type":"link"}