{"product_id":"140801","title":"Korean Peninsula War Scenario ","description":"\u003ccenter\u003e\u003cdiv style=\"text-align:center\"\u003e\u003cimg src=\"https:\/\/tmgdisk01.cafe24.com\/images\/vs\/4172\/sv\/WQtVEhrL0WxlYMPEnrGKWL.png?v=1764956311\" style=\"max-width:100%;max-height:10px\"\u003e\u003c\/div\u003e\u003c\/center\u003e\n\u003ccenter\u003e\u003ctable\u003e\u003ctr\u003e\u003ctd style=\"height:10px\"\u003e\u003c\/td\u003e\u003c\/tr\u003e\u003c\/table\u003e\u003c\/center\u003e\n\u003ccenter\u003e\u003ctable\u003e\u003ctr\u003e\u003ctd style=\"height:10px\"\u003e\u003c\/td\u003e\u003c\/tr\u003e\u003c\/table\u003e\u003c\/center\u003e\n\u003ccenter\u003e\n\n\u003cdiv style=\"width:95%\"\u003e\n\n\u003cdiv style=\"text-align:center;font-size:30px;font-weight:bolder;line-height:1.6em\"\u003e Korean Peninsula War Scenario \u003c\/div\u003e\n\n\u003ccenter\u003e\u003ctable\u003e\u003ctr\u003e\u003ctd style=\"height:10px\"\u003e\u003c\/td\u003e\u003c\/tr\u003e\u003c\/table\u003e\u003c\/center\u003e\n\n\u003ccenter\u003e\u003ctable\u003e\u003ctr\u003e\u003ctd style=\"height:10px\"\u003e\u003c\/td\u003e\u003c\/tr\u003e\u003c\/table\u003e\u003c\/center\u003e\n\n\u003ccenter\u003e\u003ctable\u003e\u003ctr\u003e\u003ctd style=\"height:10px\"\u003e\u003c\/td\u003e\u003c\/tr\u003e\u003c\/table\u003e\u003c\/center\u003e\n\n\u003ccenter\u003e\u003ctable\u003e\u003ctr\u003e\u003ctd style=\"height:10px\"\u003e\u003c\/td\u003e\u003c\/tr\u003e\u003c\/table\u003e\u003c\/center\u003e\n\n\u003cdiv style=\"border-bottom:1px;border-bottom-style:dotted;border-color:;padding-bottom:20px\"\u003e\u003ccenter\u003e\u003ctable align=\"center\" width=\"100%\"\u003e\u003ctbody style=\"border:0px\"\u003e\n\n\u003ctr\u003e\u003ctd align=\"center\" style=\"line-height:1.2em;text-align:center;font-size:18px;color:black;font-weight:bold;padding-bottom:20px;\"\u003e\u003c\/td\u003e\u003c\/tr\u003e\n\n\u003ctr\u003e\u003ctd style=\"text-align:center\"\u003e\u003cimg src=\"https:\/\/image.yes24.com\/goods\/142662393\/XL\" style=\"max-width:100%;height:auto\"\u003e\u003c\/td\u003e\u003c\/tr\u003e\n\n\n\u003c\/tbody\u003e\u003c\/table\u003e\u003c\/center\u003e\u003c\/div\u003e\n\n\u003ccenter\u003e\u003ctable\u003e\u003ctr\u003e\u003ctd style=\"height:10px\"\u003e\u003c\/td\u003e\u003c\/tr\u003e\u003c\/table\u003e\u003c\/center\u003e\n\n\u003ccenter\u003e\u003ctable\u003e\u003ctr\u003e\u003ctd style=\"height:10px\"\u003e\u003c\/td\u003e\u003c\/tr\u003e\u003c\/table\u003e\u003c\/center\u003e\n\n\u003cdiv style=\"width:95%;{split_style6}padding-top:20px;padding-bottom:20px\"\u003e\n\n\u003cdiv style=\"text-align:left;font-size:16px;font-weight:bold;padding-bottom:20px\"\u003e Description \u003c\/div\u003e\n\n\u003cdiv style=\"text-align:left;word-break:break-all;font-size:14px;line-height:1.6em;\"\u003e\n\n\u003cdiv\u003e\u003ch5\u003e \u003cb\u003eBook Introduction\u003c\/b\u003e\n\u003c\/h5\u003e\u003c\/div\u003e\n\u003cdiv\u003e\n\u003cdiv\u003e\u003cdiv\u003e \u003cb\u003e\"The risk of war on the Korean Peninsula is higher than ever\" (Foreign Policy)\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e From the deepening US-China conflict to internal political divisions,\u003cbr\u003e Why does North Korea have no choice but to start a war?\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e ★5 Scenarios for the Outbreak of War on the Korean Peninsula\u003cbr\u003e ★New work by Dr. Choi Yun-sik, Korea's leading futurologist\u003cbr\u003e ★In-Depth Analysis of Domestic and International Politics in the Trump 2.0 Era\u003cbr\u003e\u003c\/b\u003e \u003cbr\u003e\"From North Korea's perspective, war would be suicidal.\" This is a common response to the possibility of war breaking out on the Korean Peninsula.\u003cbr\u003e But this time the stakes are different.\u003cbr\u003e Experts around the world agree that the likelihood of war breaking out on the Korean Peninsula is higher than ever.\u003cbr\u003e As the recent outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine war demonstrates, the ever-escalating international tensions could escalate into actual military conflict at any time.\u003cbr\u003e South Korea, which may become a direct party to the war, seems to have no worries.\u003cbr\u003e We are in a state of war apathy.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e North Korea has never given up nuclear weapons or war.\u003cbr\u003e Now, rather, they are showing off their military capabilities.\u003cbr\u003e Last year, Chairman Kim Jong-un characterized inter-Korean relations as \"hostile\" and designated South Korea as the \"primary enemy.\"\u003cbr\u003e The international situation today, with America's war deterrence weakened, is also showing a serious trend. \u003cbr\u003eChina and Russia are likely to intervene more actively in Korean Peninsula affairs as part of their strategic calculations to limit American power.\u003cbr\u003e Trump, whose direction is uncertain, could also serve as a trigger for the outbreak of war on the Korean Peninsula.\u003cbr\u003e In particular, the nuclear weapons believed to be in North Korea's possession and the strengthening of military cooperation between North Korea and Russia are threats we cannot ignore.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e South Korea may be facing its worst times.\u003cbr\u003e This book addresses future scenarios we might prefer to ignore but must prepare for. \u003cbr\u003eThe author, Korea's leading futurologist, analyzes the geopolitical situation surrounding the Korean Peninsula, the military balance, North Korea's internal situation, the strategic calculations of major countries, and the historical context from various angles. He realistically simulates the nature of the war that will unfold based on the decisive events that will lead North Korea to attempt war, from an all-out war to exploit an opening in the US-China conflict to a localized war to divert an internal crisis to the outside world.\u003cbr\u003e Indeed, the possibility of a US-China conflict surrounding Taiwan poses a grave threat to us.\u003cbr\u003e We cannot ignore the scenario in which the Baekdu Mountain eruption becomes the fuse for war.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e Preparing for the future begins with reversing your current thinking.\u003cbr\u003e It is time to face war, which we have considered an 'unexpected future,' as an 'imminent future.' \u003cbr\u003eAs the international order is being reorganized and the nature of war is changing, this book will serve as the most accurate guide to understanding the crisis we face.\u003cbr\u003e\n\n\u003c\/div\u003e\u003c\/div\u003e\n\u003cdiv\u003e\u003cul\u003e\u003cli\u003e You can preview some of the book's contents.\u003cbr\u003e \u003cspan\u003ePreview\u003c\/span\u003e\n\n\u003c\/li\u003e\u003c\/ul\u003e\u003c\/div\u003e\n\u003c\/div\u003e\n\u003cbr\u003e\u003cdiv\u003e\u003ch5\u003e \u003cb\u003eindex\u003c\/b\u003e\n\u003c\/h5\u003e\u003c\/div\u003e\n\u003cdiv\u003e\n\u003cdiv\u003e [Introductory Note] There is no war that will never happen.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e \u003cb\u003eChapter 1: The Changing Situation and the Unchanging War Apathy\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e What could happen in 18 months\u003cbr\u003e subcritical war\u003cbr\u003e How much damage would there be if war broke out on the Korean Peninsula?\u003cbr\u003e North Korea's 'Three-Day War' Scenario\u003cbr\u003e The 21st century, dominated by the logic of power and the unsettling nature of North Korea.\u003cbr\u003e Kim Jong-un is more dangerous than Kim Il-sung.\u003cbr\u003e The Nuclear Negotiation Table and Kim Jong-un's Lies\u003cbr\u003e Trump's re-election and the possibility of war breaking out on the Korean Peninsula\u003cbr\u003e Denuclearization is impossible even in the Trump 2.0 era.\u003cbr\u003e Does the United States have the power to prevent war on the Korean Peninsula?  \u003cbr\u003ePreparing for the future begins with rethinking your present thinking.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e \u003cb\u003eChapter 2: How the Korean War Occurred\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e Three Historical Patterns of War\u003cbr\u003e Why war is less likely to occur due to external pressure\u003cbr\u003e War Outbreak Scenario 1: In a Strategic Opportunity Crack\u003cbr\u003e Why Xi Jinping and Kim Jong Un Are Dangerous Figures in Northeast Asia\u003cbr\u003e The Korean War's Trigger, the Taiwan War\u003cbr\u003e Gungseo Seolmyo\u003cbr\u003e The scale of damage to Korea and the world if a war breaks out in Taiwan\u003cbr\u003e The first internal problem that could trigger Kim Jong-un's war\u003cbr\u003e War Outbreak Scenario 2: Gambling for Regime Preservation\u003cbr\u003e Kim Jong-un's second internal problem that could trigger war\u003cbr\u003e War Outbreak Scenario 3: Hellfire Engulfs the Korean Peninsula\u003cbr\u003e Scientific evidence and real-life examples of the Baekdu Mountain volcanic eruption.\u003cbr\u003e If war breaks out on the Korean Peninsula, neither the United States nor Japan will suffer.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e \u003cb\u003eChapter 3: How the Korean War Unfolds\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e \u003cbr\u003eNorth Korea practices future warfare in Ukraine\u003cbr\u003e AI is North Korea's asymmetric power weapon\u003cbr\u003e North Korea could also employ an upgraded Hamas-style strategy.\u003cbr\u003e Unexpected Scenario 1: The Beginning of Local Warfare, Unannounced Infiltration\u003cbr\u003e With North Korea's tactical nuclear strategy added, South Korea's victory cannot be guaranteed.\u003cbr\u003e Comparison of North and South Korean combat power\u003cbr\u003e Russia and China, which will compensate for North Korea's conventional military weakness.\u003cbr\u003e Unexpected Scenario 2: Attacks on North Korean Nuclear Facilities and Cyberattacks\u003cbr\u003e What would happen if North Korea attacked South Korea's nuclear power plants?\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e \u003cb\u003eChapter 4: There is no impossible future.\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e The trap of thinking that overconfidently believes in oneself and undervalues ​​others\u003cbr\u003e If war breaks out, how will it end?\u003cbr\u003e The 'Strange Truce' scenario\u003cbr\u003e If a rebellion breaks out in North Korea: The Collective Leadership Model\u003cbr\u003e Even without war, an 'unexpected future' can occur.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e [Exiting Article] A New Future Scenario for the Korean Peninsula\u003cbr\u003e [main]\u003c\/div\u003e\n\u003cdiv\u003e\u003c\/div\u003e\n\u003c\/div\u003e\n\u003cbr\u003e\u003cdiv\u003e\u003ch5\u003e \u003cb\u003eDetailed image\u003c\/b\u003e \u003c\/h5\u003e\u003c\/div\u003e\n\u003cdiv\u003e\u003cdiv\u003e\u003cimg src=\"https:\/\/image.yes24.com\/momo\/TopCate5152\/MidCate009\/515188854.jpg\" border=\"0\" alt=\"Detailed Image 1\"\u003e\u003c\/div\u003e\u003c\/div\u003e\n\u003cbr\u003e\u003cdiv\u003e\u003ch5\u003e \u003cb\u003eInto the book\u003c\/b\u003e\n\u003c\/h5\u003e\u003c\/div\u003e\n\u003cdiv\u003e\n\u003cdiv\u003e  \u003cdiv\u003eWars usually start in unexpected ways.\u003cbr\u003e This book focuses on aspects of war that we are not currently observing with interest or that could begin in ways we never anticipated.\u003cbr\u003e A representative example is the case where the US-China military conflict surrounding Taiwan leads to war on the Korean Peninsula.\u003cbr\u003e There is also a future in which the eruption of Mt. Baekdu could be the trigger for war on the Korean Peninsula.\u003cbr\u003e A scenario where North Korea launches a surprise attack on South Korea's nuclear power plants and paralyzes the power grid and financial system with a large-scale cyberattack, leading to a military counterattack by South Korea, triggering an all-out war is also possible.\u003cbr\u003e --- From \"There is no war that will never happen\"\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e Overseas North Korea experts and officials warn that Kim Jong-un could take physical military action at any time. \u003cbr\u003eOn October 20, 2024, the National Intelligence Service reported that North Korea was expected to deploy 10,000 to 15,000 special forces troops to the Russia-Ukraine war.\u003cbr\u003e The whole world expressed anxiety that North Korea's deployment of troops could lead to World War III, but only South Korea showed an indifferent response.\u003cbr\u003e But as we all know, North Korea actually went ahead with the deployment.\u003cbr\u003e --- From \"The Changing Situation and the Unchanged War Apathy\"\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e So, does the United States have the ability to deter war on the Korean Peninsula? No one questions this.\u003cbr\u003e But the reality is different.\u003cbr\u003e In the case of the Israel-Hamas war, which entered a temporary ceasefire in January 2025, the United States was left to fiddle for over a year, hoping only to avoid an escalation.\u003cbr\u003e The war that started with Russia's invasion of Ukraine is now in its fourth year, but all the United States has done is provide Ukraine with military supplies. \u003cbr\u003eEven shells were in short supply, so we had to ask our country for help.\u003cbr\u003e --- From \"The Changing Situation and the Unchanged War Apathy\"\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e If the United States goes to war with China over Taiwan, it will be difficult to wage another war at the same time.\u003cbr\u003e Moreover, the Taiwan Strait is a vital route for international trade, and conflict in this region could have a significant impact on the global economy.\u003cbr\u003e If the global economy were to fall into crisis, America's allies would also be in conflict, making their own economic situation a more important criterion for judging outcomes than the outcome of a war in Taiwan or the prevention of a local war on the Korean Peninsula.\u003cbr\u003e This situation provides North Korea with a strategic opportunity to launch an invasion.\u003cbr\u003e --- From \"How the Korean Peninsula War Occurred\"\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e Experts point to Udo and Yeonpyeongdo as the most dangerous of the five West Sea islands. \u003cbr\u003eThere are no civilians on Udo Island, and only a small number of Marines are stationed on Yeonpyeong Island, so the battle can be ended quickly and the risk of escalation is the lowest.\u003cbr\u003e North Korea will seize these two islands in an instant with an \"upgraded Hamas-style strategy,\" then claim the waters surrounding the West Sea's five islands as North Korean territorial waters and bring the United States to the negotiating table to prevent further escalation of the war in South Korea.\u003cbr\u003e Since 1999, North Korea has been insisting that the median line between Deungdeung Cape and Guleop Island be designated as the new maritime military demarcation line, based on Article 3 of the New Maritime Law, which came into effect in 1994, which states that the territorial sea width is 12 nautical miles.\u003cbr\u003e --- From \"How the Korean Peninsula War Will Unfold\"\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e Applying these historical examples to the situation on the Korean Peninsula clearly demonstrates how dangerous a scenario unification through war can be. \u003cbr\u003eThe Korean Peninsula is currently in a complex situation that cannot be compared to the cases of Vietnam or Yemen.\u003cbr\u003e If unification occurs suddenly and forcibly through war, South Korea will inevitably suffer serious war damage.\u003cbr\u003e It is clear that serious problems will arise, including a large-scale refugee crisis, the risk of retaliation and purges, and astronomical social integration costs.\u003cbr\u003e Sudden unification through war can never be a desirable solution.\u003cbr\u003e Rather, if war breaks out on the Korean Peninsula and unification is achieved suddenly, it could lead to very dangerous and complex consequences.\u003cbr\u003e --- From \"There is no impossible future\"\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e Now is the time to think about the future scenario of the Korean Peninsula differently from the past.\u003cbr\u003e The era of a unified Korean Peninsula will come someday.\u003cbr\u003e This is because the possibility of the Kim Jong-un regime's fourth-generation hereditary succession is gradually decreasing. \u003cbr\u003eBut even if unification is achieved, many unexpected challenges will arise in the process.\u003cbr\u003e The possibility of war, whether local or all-out, is one of them.\u003cbr\u003e\n\n\u003c\/div\u003e\n\u003cdiv\u003e --- From \"New Future Scenarios for the Korean Peninsula\"\u003c\/div\u003e\n\u003c\/div\u003e\n\u003cdiv\u003e\u003c\/div\u003e\n\u003c\/div\u003e\n\u003cbr\u003e\u003cdiv\u003e\u003ch5\u003e \u003cb\u003ePublisher's Review\u003c\/b\u003e\n\u003c\/h5\u003e\u003c\/div\u003e\n\u003cdiv\u003e\n\u003cdiv\u003e \u003cb\u003e“There is no war that will never happen.”\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e The worst time for Korea is coming,\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e And the signs of doom we're missing\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e “North Korea could take dramatic action within six to 18 months” (Foreign Policy), “The situation on the Korean Peninsula is more dangerous than at any time since 1950” (38 North), “Kim Jong-un could miscalculate and start a war” (Foreign Affairs).\u003cbr\u003e These are some of the major articles that have pointed out the possibility of war breaking out on the Korean Peninsula in the past year or so.\u003cbr\u003e Experts around the world are unanimously analyzing the risks of war. \u003cbr\u003eAs the two Koreas are in a state of armistice, the possibility of war between them has always existed, but this time it is different.\u003cbr\u003e Only South Korea, which may become a direct party to the war, responded by saying, \"It's an exaggeration,\" and \"From North Korea's perspective, war is an act of suicide.\"\u003cbr\u003e We are in a state of war apathy.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e Dr. Choi Yoon-sik, Korea's leading futurologist and author of numerous bestsellers including \"Korea's Future Scenario for the Next 5 Years\" and \"US-China War Scenario for the Next 5 Years,\" addresses the future scenario of a \"second Korean War\" in his new book, \"Korean Peninsula War Scenario.\"\u003cbr\u003e In the changing international situation, it is to detect the signs of catastrophe that we are missing and to warn of a future that could happen at any time.\u003cbr\u003e The author provides a detailed account of the possible paths and nature of the war that could lead to Kim Jong-un's final gambit, the \"Korean Peninsula War.\" \u003cbr\u003eIf North Korea were to launch a local war, the most likely area would be the five islands in the West Sea, with Udo and Yeonpyeong Island being the most at risk.\u003cbr\u003e Because only a small number of troops are stationed there, the fighting can be ended quickly, the risk of escalation is low, and the United States can be brought to the negotiating table.\u003cbr\u003e Additionally, if North Korea were to employ a tactical nuclear strategy, it would likely target densely populated areas such as Seoul or Busan.\u003cbr\u003e Busan is a likely target because it is close to Japan, which could amplify Japan's fears, and it is also the farthest from North Korea, making it the safest from nuclear contamination in the North.\u003cbr\u003e Sangju is also a candidate because it is located in the exact center of South Korea and has a flat basin terrain, which would maximize the power of the atomic bomb.\u003cbr\u003e Discussions about what might happen after the war also have important implications. \u003cbr\u003eIt deals with unexpected endings, such as the \"strange armistice\" that has an ambiguous beginning and end in recent cases, and North Korea's transition to a socialist collective leadership system.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e \u003cb\u003eThe world is now watching the possibility of war breaking out on the Korean Peninsula.\u003cbr\u003e Five War Scenarios for the Korean Peninsula, as Warn by Futurist Choi Yoon-sik\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e Author Dr. Choi Yun-sik has been analyzing North Korea's history, power structure, and society for a long time.\u003cbr\u003e This forecast, which covers in depth everything from the causes of the Korean War to its development and post-war situation, is based on an analysis of North Korea's politics, military, economy, and culture, as well as the characteristics of Kim Jong-un, the recent geopolitical situation in East Asia, China's ruling structure, and trends in the United States.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e \u003cb\u003e1.\u003cbr\u003e US-China conflict in Taiwan\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e China's military expansion is increasing the threat to Taiwan, further escalating tensions between the United States and China. \u003cbr\u003eIf the United States goes to war with China over Taiwan, it will be difficult to wage another war at the same time.\u003cbr\u003e There is a possibility that Kim Jong-un will take advantage of the situation where the US military power is dispersed.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e \u003cb\u003e2.\u003cbr\u003e Gambling to maintain the system\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e There are continuous reports that the discontent among North Koreans and the military has reached a critical point due to the current Kim Jong-un regime's oppressive rule and economic difficulties.\u003cbr\u003e As internal divisions deepen, Kim Jong-un will likely turn his attention to the outside world through war.\u003cbr\u003e The author believes that in this case, the war is unlikely to last long because the goal of the war is to quell military discontent and change public sentiment.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e \u003cb\u003e3.\u003cbr\u003e Baekdu Mountain eruption\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e There is a very real possibility that Mt. Baekdu will erupt.\u003cbr\u003e And if the natural disaster caused by the Baekdu Mountain eruption makes it difficult to govern the country, a situation like scenario 2 could arise where Kim Jong-un uses war as a card to change the situation.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e \u003cb\u003e4.\u003c\/b\u003e \u003cbr\u003eStrategic surprise and negotiations with the United States\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e If North Korea attempts a local war, it could employ an \"upgraded Hamas-style strategy.\"\u003cbr\u003e In addition to surprise attacks, it also involves the use of military robots.\u003cbr\u003e Experts point to Udo and Yeonpyeongdo as the most dangerous of the five West Sea islands.\u003cbr\u003e After North Korea quickly seizes these two islands, it will claim the waters surrounding the West Sea Five Islands as its territorial waters and bring the United States to the negotiating table to prevent further escalation of the war in South Korea.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e \u003cb\u003e5.\u003cbr\u003e Possibility of cyberattack\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e North Korea's cyber power is known to be ranked 4th in the world.\u003cbr\u003e South Korea's nuclear facilities, communications networks and other infrastructure systems can be attacked at any time.\u003cbr\u003e If North Korea were to launch a cyberattack using AI, it could cause serious disruption to our society and military.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e \u003cb\u003eThe variable of the Trump administration's second term...\u003cbr\u003e How will the situation on the Korean Peninsula unfold amidst this uncertain reality?\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e \u003cbr\u003eIn addition, there is another important point to consider.\u003cbr\u003e It's Donald Trump.\u003cbr\u003e Many people focus solely on Trump's trade war.\u003cbr\u003e However, the actions of the second Trump administration could have a significant impact on the outbreak of war on the Korean Peninsula.\u003cbr\u003e Trump's \"dealing through conflict\" style and Kim Jong-un's \"pragmatic gambler\" nature could potentially lead to a temporary easing of tensions and groundbreaking negotiation results in a situation where both sides share interests. However, if miscalculations or a battle of egos overlap, there is a risk that the situation could escalate into a military conflict in an instant.\u003cbr\u003e Trump will first end the wars in the Middle East and Ukraine, then turn his attention to the denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula.\u003cbr\u003e There is a high possibility that denuclearization negotiations between the United States and North Korea will resume.\u003cbr\u003e However, if negotiations reach a deadlock or there are significant differences of opinion, Kim Jong-un will likely try to turn the situation around with military provocations or missile tests. \u003cbr\u003eTrump will never back down if Kim Jong-un pushes the situation toward extreme confrontation.\u003cbr\u003e Ultimately, this increases the possibility of a local war breaking out on the Korean Peninsula.\u003cbr\u003e The issue of US troops stationed in Korea and changes in military power on the Korean Peninsula, which Trump has consistently insisted on, could also be important factors that increase the possibility of war breaking out on the Korean Peninsula.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e Many experts say that globalization based on free trade is coming to an end and that an era of hegemonic competition centered on ideology and national interests has arrived.\u003cbr\u003e Moreover, the pace of change in technology, industry, and the global environment has accelerated, as has the economic situation.\u003cbr\u003e South Korea's population, economy, industry, politics, and society are all moving in a completely different direction than they did over the past 50 years.\u003cbr\u003e While history should not be ignored, relying on past experiences without understanding the changing context is a surefire path to failure. \u003cbr\u003eThe biggest crises are caused by 'unexpected events' or 'unexpected incidents'.\u003cbr\u003e Wars always break out without warning and unfold in unexpected ways.\u003cbr\u003e This is why we should not ignore the author's warnings about the \"worst-case scenario.\" \u003cbr\u003e\n\n\u003c\/div\u003e\n\u003cdiv\u003e\u003c\/div\u003e\n\u003c\/div\u003e\n\u003c\/div\u003e\n\n\n\u003c\/div\u003e\n\n\u003ccenter\u003e\u003ctable\u003e\u003ctr\u003e\u003ctd style=\"height:10px\"\u003e\u003c\/td\u003e\u003c\/tr\u003e\u003c\/table\u003e\u003c\/center\u003e\n\n\u003ccenter\u003e\u003ctable\u003e\u003ctr\u003e\u003ctd style=\"height:10px\"\u003e\u003c\/td\u003e\u003c\/tr\u003e\u003c\/table\u003e\u003c\/center\u003e\n\n\u003cdiv style=\"width:95%;padding-top:20px;padding-bottom:20px\"\u003e\n\n\u003cdiv style=\"text-align:left;font-size:16px;font-weight:bold;padding-bottom:20px\"\u003e GOODS SPECIFICS \u003c\/div\u003e\n\n\u003cdiv style=\"text-align:left;font-size:14px;line-height:1.6em;\"\u003e\n\n\u003cdiv style=\"width:100%;margin-bottom:5px;line-height:1.6em;font-size:14px\"\u003e - \u003cstrong\u003eDate of issue:\u003c\/strong\u003e February 14, 2025\u003c\/div\u003e\n\n\u003cdiv style=\"width:100%;margin-bottom:5px;line-height:1.6em;font-size:14px\"\u003e - \u003cstrong\u003ePage count, weight, size:\u003c\/strong\u003e 288 pages | 512g | 152*215*20mm\u003c\/div\u003e\n\n\u003cdiv style=\"width:100%;margin-bottom:5px;line-height:1.6em;font-size:14px\"\u003e - \u003cstrong\u003eISBN13:\u003c\/strong\u003e 9788901293349\u003c\/div\u003e\n\n\u003cdiv style=\"width:100%;margin-bottom:5px;line-height:1.6em;font-size:14px\"\u003e - \u003cstrong\u003eISBN10:\u003c\/strong\u003e 890129334X \u003c\/div\u003e\n\n\n\u003c\/div\u003e\n\n\n\u003c\/div\u003e\n\n\n\u003c\/div\u003e\n\n\u003ccenter\u003e\n\n\u003ccenter\u003e\u003ctable\u003e\u003ctr\u003e\u003ctd style=\"height:10px\"\u003e\u003c\/td\u003e\u003c\/tr\u003e\u003c\/table\u003e\u003c\/center\u003e\n\n\u003ccenter\u003e\u003ctable\u003e\u003ctr\u003e\u003ctd style=\"height:10px\"\u003e\u003c\/td\u003e\u003c\/tr\u003e\u003c\/table\u003e\u003c\/center\u003e\n\n\u003cspan\u003e\u003c\/span\u003e\n\n\u003c\/center\u003e\n\n\n\u003c\/center\u003e","brand":"LIBRAIRIE COREENNE","offers":[{"title":"Default Title","offer_id":43894395142186,"sku":"140801","price":29.0,"currency_code":"EUR","in_stock":true}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/0683\/2750\/5962\/files\/f4e1bf10f41f4e7e05f598ab3fc394b9.jpg?v=1765432510","url":"https:\/\/librairie.coreenne.fr\/en\/products\/140801","provider":"LIBRAIRIE COREENNE","version":"1.0","type":"link"}