
Bubble: The Great Wealth Transformation
Description
Book Introduction
“Do you have the ability to discern opportunity and crisis?” Financial Times Book of the Year A New Framework for 300 Years of Wealth Transformation Is this a bubble or not? Individual investors and experts alike are sharply divided on the current situation. How should we interpret and act in this rapidly changing world? Standing at a major turning point, will we be the ones who gain or the ones who lose? This book examines the bubble crisis that has shaken 300 years of history, from the first bubble in human history to the present. It provides insight into the recurring cycles of boom and bust, why and what created the bubble, who exploited it and who lost their wealth and who profited. The authors present a new framework by analyzing the bubble economy created by 'marketability, capital, and speculation' as the 'bubble triangle.' The bubble events throughout history have had an irrational pattern of these three requirements. Every time there is a social change or issue, the global economy faces a major turning point. The global economic changes brought about by COVID-19 are not unprecedented in history, although their seeds may have taken different forms. Let's find the answer from the shoulders of giants and surprising insights in "Bubble: The Great Wealth Transformation," a book selected by the Financial Times as one of the best books of the year, which analyzes the rapidly changing economic situation and presents a new framework. |
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index
A letter of recommendation.
Insights that will determine your economic destiny unfold!
Introduction
PART 01.
Rise or Fall: The Two Faces of the Bubble
01.
The fate of investment
Who will have the last laugh? | The positive benefits and definition of bubbles | The great triangle that drives the economy | Novice investors and professional speculators | Two factors that cause bubbles
02.
Rationality and irrationality
Two Variables That Determine a Bubble's Impact | The Event That Rocked the Global Economy
PART 02.
The Rise and Fall of Bubbles: The Birth of a Bubble
01.
Market Management Tricks
The Price of War | The Rise of a New Strategist | What Seems Like an Attractive Investment | The Failure of a Solution
02.
Why did they make a bad deal?
Things Made Possible by the "Possibility" of Capital Accumulation | People Who Deliberately Create Bubbles | Why Did the Media Not Tell the Truth? | The Government's Carrot and Stick Appeasement of Angry Investors | The Startup Boom
[CAUSES AND EFFECTS]
01.
An incident deliberately created by a small number of people
02.
Those who have lost are noisy, those who have gained are silent.
PART 03.
Where the Overflowing Liquidity Fell: The First Emerging Market Bubble
01.
Capital heading overseas
Where the post-war liquidity overflowed | Attempts to exploit locals and the resulting consequences
02.
Who shapes and expands the narrative?
The Remark That Caused a Panic in the Stock Market | 3 Causes of Failure
[CAUSES AND EFFECTS]
01.
A bait too tempting to ignore
02.
Making major changes to the banking system
PART 04.
A Pour of Money: The Democratization of Speculation Begins
01.
The biggest bubble in history
The emergence of innovative technologies that changed the world
02.
What triggered it?
A deluge of ads and emotionally charged media reports | Four crucial factors | The suspicious truth finally revealed
[CAUSES AND EFFECTS]
01.
From the middle class to the working class, the democratization of speculation begins.
02.
The cost of 'social savings' that still remains after 200 years
PART 05.
People Who Swallowed Other People's Money: The Real Estate Bubble
01.
Short-lived glory and long-lasting pain
The Tragedy of Humanism | The Opium of the Middle Class: The Real Estate Giants Created by the Desire for Profit | The Sudden Crash of the Real Estate Market | Four Reasons Why the Real Estate Bubble Lasted So Long | It's Time to Pay the Price for Excess
[CAUSES AND EFFECTS]
01.
Leverage to make a lot of money just by buying and selling land
02.
The stage created by the financial system
PART 06.
The pandemic that caused creative destruction: A world turned upside down.
01.
A meeting of amazing innovation and creative speculation
Improving inconvenience and becoming a trend | 1,138 percent return, stocks inflating like tires | Articles pouring in about overnight riches | The difference between failed companies and those on the path to success | Ordinary people who were uninformed were blindsided.
[CAUSES AND EFFECTS]
01.
Between innovation and greater innovation
02.
cause creative destruction
PART 07.
The Economic Earthquake: The Day the Financial Center Collapsed
01.
A huge fireworks bursts forth
A nation that inspires patriotism | A saturated market, where people flock to alternatives | The real estate market | The framework is concentrated in stocks | The continued decline, with no apparent reason | The media, which weaves and edits stories, becomes the market's sycophant.
[CAUSES AND EFFECTS]
01.
The result of large-scale investment based on rumors in a vicious cycle
02.
Two Lessons from the Roaring Twenties
PART 08.
Money Games for Political Purposes: A Record of Desire and Chaos
01.
The Beginning of a Lost Era
The U.S. Administration and Japan's Financial Markets | An Era of Brilliant Growth Begins | An Irreversible Promise | Private Needs and Government Desires | The Peak of the Boom | The Festival Is Over: Deeper Floors Beneath
[CAUSES AND EFFECTS]
01.
Lost time created by politics
02.
The stark difference between a tech bubble and a political bubble
PART 09.
Amazing Innovation or Irrational Exuberance: Optimism and Skepticism in the Digital World
01.
Is this the beginning of innovation or a sign of danger?
The Expansion of the Invisible World | The Emergence of the Big Bang That Heats Up the Market | The Overheated Imitation | The Emergence of Channels That Fascinated Investors | From $3.1 Billion to $0
PART 10.
Someone's Playing the Wrong Game: Shaking the Foundations of the Economy
01.
A product of foolishness that is mistaken for the answer
Cassandra's Warning | The Global Housing Embracing a Time Bomb
02.
The 'no more talking, no more nagging' investment that was hit hard
Ordinary people's days were turned upside down | The first bank run in 150 years and a chain of financial institution failures | The astronomical cost of foolishness
[CAUSES AND EFFECTS]
01.
The gold rush mentality that turns ordinary people into speculators
02.
Lessons from a Perfectly Disruptive Model
PART 11.
The Continent Moves: Casino Capitalism
01.
Who controls it and why?
The country with the world's largest middle class | A first step toward capitalism | People with incomprehensible investment philosophies
02.
propaganda
Bubble boards aiming for economic stimulus | Signs of a downturn | 90 percent of trading volume comes from individual investors
[CAUSES AND EFFECTS]
01.
History repeats itself
PART 12.
A Future You Never Dreamed of: Predicting Bubbles
01.
The giant triangle that drives the economy
Blockchain Technology | Market Insights | Useful or Disruptive? | The Rise of Algorithmic Trading and High-Frequency Trading
02.
What should the government do?
Two Questions We Must Ask Now: Will We Explode or Alleviate the Pain?
03.
There is a fourth power
The Role of the Fourth Power | Between Corruption and Truth
04.
Will you be the one who gains or the one who loses?
annotation
Photo source
Insights that will determine your economic destiny unfold!
Introduction
PART 01.
Rise or Fall: The Two Faces of the Bubble
01.
The fate of investment
Who will have the last laugh? | The positive benefits and definition of bubbles | The great triangle that drives the economy | Novice investors and professional speculators | Two factors that cause bubbles
02.
Rationality and irrationality
Two Variables That Determine a Bubble's Impact | The Event That Rocked the Global Economy
PART 02.
The Rise and Fall of Bubbles: The Birth of a Bubble
01.
Market Management Tricks
The Price of War | The Rise of a New Strategist | What Seems Like an Attractive Investment | The Failure of a Solution
02.
Why did they make a bad deal?
Things Made Possible by the "Possibility" of Capital Accumulation | People Who Deliberately Create Bubbles | Why Did the Media Not Tell the Truth? | The Government's Carrot and Stick Appeasement of Angry Investors | The Startup Boom
[CAUSES AND EFFECTS]
01.
An incident deliberately created by a small number of people
02.
Those who have lost are noisy, those who have gained are silent.
PART 03.
Where the Overflowing Liquidity Fell: The First Emerging Market Bubble
01.
Capital heading overseas
Where the post-war liquidity overflowed | Attempts to exploit locals and the resulting consequences
02.
Who shapes and expands the narrative?
The Remark That Caused a Panic in the Stock Market | 3 Causes of Failure
[CAUSES AND EFFECTS]
01.
A bait too tempting to ignore
02.
Making major changes to the banking system
PART 04.
A Pour of Money: The Democratization of Speculation Begins
01.
The biggest bubble in history
The emergence of innovative technologies that changed the world
02.
What triggered it?
A deluge of ads and emotionally charged media reports | Four crucial factors | The suspicious truth finally revealed
[CAUSES AND EFFECTS]
01.
From the middle class to the working class, the democratization of speculation begins.
02.
The cost of 'social savings' that still remains after 200 years
PART 05.
People Who Swallowed Other People's Money: The Real Estate Bubble
01.
Short-lived glory and long-lasting pain
The Tragedy of Humanism | The Opium of the Middle Class: The Real Estate Giants Created by the Desire for Profit | The Sudden Crash of the Real Estate Market | Four Reasons Why the Real Estate Bubble Lasted So Long | It's Time to Pay the Price for Excess
[CAUSES AND EFFECTS]
01.
Leverage to make a lot of money just by buying and selling land
02.
The stage created by the financial system
PART 06.
The pandemic that caused creative destruction: A world turned upside down.
01.
A meeting of amazing innovation and creative speculation
Improving inconvenience and becoming a trend | 1,138 percent return, stocks inflating like tires | Articles pouring in about overnight riches | The difference between failed companies and those on the path to success | Ordinary people who were uninformed were blindsided.
[CAUSES AND EFFECTS]
01.
Between innovation and greater innovation
02.
cause creative destruction
PART 07.
The Economic Earthquake: The Day the Financial Center Collapsed
01.
A huge fireworks bursts forth
A nation that inspires patriotism | A saturated market, where people flock to alternatives | The real estate market | The framework is concentrated in stocks | The continued decline, with no apparent reason | The media, which weaves and edits stories, becomes the market's sycophant.
[CAUSES AND EFFECTS]
01.
The result of large-scale investment based on rumors in a vicious cycle
02.
Two Lessons from the Roaring Twenties
PART 08.
Money Games for Political Purposes: A Record of Desire and Chaos
01.
The Beginning of a Lost Era
The U.S. Administration and Japan's Financial Markets | An Era of Brilliant Growth Begins | An Irreversible Promise | Private Needs and Government Desires | The Peak of the Boom | The Festival Is Over: Deeper Floors Beneath
[CAUSES AND EFFECTS]
01.
Lost time created by politics
02.
The stark difference between a tech bubble and a political bubble
PART 09.
Amazing Innovation or Irrational Exuberance: Optimism and Skepticism in the Digital World
01.
Is this the beginning of innovation or a sign of danger?
The Expansion of the Invisible World | The Emergence of the Big Bang That Heats Up the Market | The Overheated Imitation | The Emergence of Channels That Fascinated Investors | From $3.1 Billion to $0
PART 10.
Someone's Playing the Wrong Game: Shaking the Foundations of the Economy
01.
A product of foolishness that is mistaken for the answer
Cassandra's Warning | The Global Housing Embracing a Time Bomb
02.
The 'no more talking, no more nagging' investment that was hit hard
Ordinary people's days were turned upside down | The first bank run in 150 years and a chain of financial institution failures | The astronomical cost of foolishness
[CAUSES AND EFFECTS]
01.
The gold rush mentality that turns ordinary people into speculators
02.
Lessons from a Perfectly Disruptive Model
PART 11.
The Continent Moves: Casino Capitalism
01.
Who controls it and why?
The country with the world's largest middle class | A first step toward capitalism | People with incomprehensible investment philosophies
02.
propaganda
Bubble boards aiming for economic stimulus | Signs of a downturn | 90 percent of trading volume comes from individual investors
[CAUSES AND EFFECTS]
01.
History repeats itself
PART 12.
A Future You Never Dreamed of: Predicting Bubbles
01.
The giant triangle that drives the economy
Blockchain Technology | Market Insights | Useful or Disruptive? | The Rise of Algorithmic Trading and High-Frequency Trading
02.
What should the government do?
Two Questions We Must Ask Now: Will We Explode or Alleviate the Pain?
03.
There is a fourth power
The Role of the Fourth Power | Between Corruption and Truth
04.
Will you be the one who gains or the one who loses?
annotation
Photo source
Detailed image

Into the book
The pandemic has sparked a surge of change, fueling a surge of interest and desire for wealth.
In times like these, we need to have eyes that can perceive and judge reality coolly.
The stronger the desire to become rich, the bigger the bubble it creates, which ultimately makes you vulnerable to external shocks.
The three factors that create a bubble do not last forever.
Among these, in particular, ‘optimism about the future’ and ‘liquidity’ carry the risk of disappearing at any time.
The massive financial crisis that erupted in the United States in 2008, and the interest rate hikes by Chinese policymakers to stem the risk of runaway inflation, were enough to burst the bubble.
Experts and individual investors alike are divided on whether the current situation is a bubble or not.
What similarities and differences do the asset price increases following the COVID-19 shock have with those that triggered major economic shifts in the past? And what choices and actions should policymakers, businesspeople, and individual investors make? --- From pages 7-8
Of course, not all bubbles are as destructive as the housing bubble of the 2000s, and some even have positive effects on society.
Bubbles are useful in three ways.
First, it ultimately contributes to future economic growth by fostering innovation and encouraging more people to become entrepreneurs.
Second, the new technologies developed by companies born from the bubble could help spur future innovation and remain actively used until the bubble displaces these new technologies to other industries.
Third, it can provide new opportunities for technology projects that were previously unable to secure funding through financial markets.
Many of the bubbles that have occurred throughout history have been related to technologies such as railroads, automobiles, fiber optics, and the Internet.
William Janeway, a venture capitalist who found success during the dot-com bubble, said that some economically beneficial technologies might not have been developed had the bubble not burst.
--- From page 20
We conducted extensive research, including writings and speeches by journalists, politicians, and commentators during the bubble period.
What did they say while the bubble was forming? Did they try to solve the problem, or did they try to exacerbate it and become complicit? We didn't want to listen only to the voices of those in power.
I also paid attention to ordinary people who were caught up in the bubble.
Who suffered and who benefited? As financial economists, we don't want our analysis to end up as a mere list of general explanations.
We wanted to quantify the size of each bubble and the extent of the damage it caused.
For well-known bubbles, this process was relatively straightforward, but for lesser-known bubbles, it required excavation and reconstruction, much like unearthing old records buried in a dusty archive.
--- From page 40
While there have been numerous articles written about the misfortunes of people who lost money, there have also been those who did not.
That is, countless other investors could have made a lot of money with this scheme, and those people didn't brag about it.
It wasn't just the special insiders of the plan who did this.
There are records of people who were not rich making good decisions and making money, and those who were outside the financial center and observed the plans with a more dispassionate eye.
Women, who accounted for 20 percent of investors, are also estimated to have made greater profits than men from speculating in Bank of England and Royal African Company stocks.
Jewish investors are also known to have outperformed the general public by buying stocks at low prices immediately after the crash, and Huguenots have also performed relatively well.
--- From pages 77-78
At this time, 『A Brief and Sure Guide to Successful Railroad Speculation』, 『A Secret Note for Railroad Speculators』, 『Railroad Stocks
The publication of numerous popular investment guides, such as "How to Make Money," also suggests that speculation was becoming democratized at the time.
As with other famous bubble-related episodes, the railroad bubble also has many stories that focus on the stock investments of naive, amateur, and penniless ants.
Some contemporaries claimed that amateur investors who were talking about railroad stocks ended up driving up the stock price, and when the stock price plummeted, they jumped in again in fear, adding fuel to the crash.
However, most of these claims come from satirical journalism and contemporary literature.
According to railroad historians, it was women and clergy who had no experience in stock investment who participated in the investment rather than the poor, and in particular, the middle class and common nouveau riche were the core of individual investors.
For example, literary giants such as Charlotte Brontë and William Makepeace Thackeray, as well as renowned scientists such as Charles Darwin, were involved in railway speculation.
--- From pages 134-137
What role did the media play during the bubble? Newspapers generally had no interest in objectively assessing the market, instead simply reporting the subjective opinions of bankers, traders, and politicians.
A contemporary financial history by a contributor, John Brooks, mockingly described the emergence of "transatlantic ship interviews" in which "mysterious" major bankers or business leaders would travel to Europe on luxury cruises and "reluctantly" offer comments to various financial journalists.
In 1929, the remarks of influential people were so consistently positive that they were nicknamed the "Prosperity Choir."
Instead of reporting the truth while the market was in decline, newspapers continued to publish the overly optimistic words of this prosperity chorus.
--- Pages 232-233
This is the biggest difference between a tech bubble and a political bubble.
Tech bubbles form when huge amounts of money flow into highly innovative sectors of the economy, often with the benefit of society, by allowing companies to obtain financing that otherwise might not have been available.
But in a political bubble, these benefits are absent altogether, and money tends to flow into sectors of the economy that generally do not create many positive externalities.
The various events that occurred in the Japanese bubble vividly illustrate this contrast.
--- From page 278
One of the reasons people turned to speculation during the American boom was their optimistic outlook on future home price increases.61 A 2003 survey of homebuyers in the four largest cities in the United States found that people tended to buy homes with the expectation of future price increases rather than the joy of living in the home.
More than 90 percent of respondents to the survey said they expected home prices to rise at least threefold over the next decade.
This long-term expectation has played a significant role in increasing demand for U.S. housing sales.
Even people who did not want to buy physical real estate could speculate in the housing market through mortgage-backed securities or collateralized debt obligations.
--- From page 339
The New York Times reported that Chinese self-employed workers, housekeepers, farmers, and watermelon sellers have given up their main jobs and become addicted to daily stock trading.
One in ten citizens has jumped into stock trading.
In 2005, 7 percent of Chinese citizens' savings were invested in the stock market, but by the end of 2007, that figure had risen to 30 percent.
However, many investors had an investment philosophy that was somewhat incomprehensible.
It was like picking stocks at random and buying them or buying them because the stock price was a 'lucky number'.
For some, the stock market was a legal way to satisfy their gambling cravings in China, where casinos and gambling were illegal.
In times like these, we need to have eyes that can perceive and judge reality coolly.
The stronger the desire to become rich, the bigger the bubble it creates, which ultimately makes you vulnerable to external shocks.
The three factors that create a bubble do not last forever.
Among these, in particular, ‘optimism about the future’ and ‘liquidity’ carry the risk of disappearing at any time.
The massive financial crisis that erupted in the United States in 2008, and the interest rate hikes by Chinese policymakers to stem the risk of runaway inflation, were enough to burst the bubble.
Experts and individual investors alike are divided on whether the current situation is a bubble or not.
What similarities and differences do the asset price increases following the COVID-19 shock have with those that triggered major economic shifts in the past? And what choices and actions should policymakers, businesspeople, and individual investors make? --- From pages 7-8
Of course, not all bubbles are as destructive as the housing bubble of the 2000s, and some even have positive effects on society.
Bubbles are useful in three ways.
First, it ultimately contributes to future economic growth by fostering innovation and encouraging more people to become entrepreneurs.
Second, the new technologies developed by companies born from the bubble could help spur future innovation and remain actively used until the bubble displaces these new technologies to other industries.
Third, it can provide new opportunities for technology projects that were previously unable to secure funding through financial markets.
Many of the bubbles that have occurred throughout history have been related to technologies such as railroads, automobiles, fiber optics, and the Internet.
William Janeway, a venture capitalist who found success during the dot-com bubble, said that some economically beneficial technologies might not have been developed had the bubble not burst.
--- From page 20
We conducted extensive research, including writings and speeches by journalists, politicians, and commentators during the bubble period.
What did they say while the bubble was forming? Did they try to solve the problem, or did they try to exacerbate it and become complicit? We didn't want to listen only to the voices of those in power.
I also paid attention to ordinary people who were caught up in the bubble.
Who suffered and who benefited? As financial economists, we don't want our analysis to end up as a mere list of general explanations.
We wanted to quantify the size of each bubble and the extent of the damage it caused.
For well-known bubbles, this process was relatively straightforward, but for lesser-known bubbles, it required excavation and reconstruction, much like unearthing old records buried in a dusty archive.
--- From page 40
While there have been numerous articles written about the misfortunes of people who lost money, there have also been those who did not.
That is, countless other investors could have made a lot of money with this scheme, and those people didn't brag about it.
It wasn't just the special insiders of the plan who did this.
There are records of people who were not rich making good decisions and making money, and those who were outside the financial center and observed the plans with a more dispassionate eye.
Women, who accounted for 20 percent of investors, are also estimated to have made greater profits than men from speculating in Bank of England and Royal African Company stocks.
Jewish investors are also known to have outperformed the general public by buying stocks at low prices immediately after the crash, and Huguenots have also performed relatively well.
--- From pages 77-78
At this time, 『A Brief and Sure Guide to Successful Railroad Speculation』, 『A Secret Note for Railroad Speculators』, 『Railroad Stocks
The publication of numerous popular investment guides, such as "How to Make Money," also suggests that speculation was becoming democratized at the time.
As with other famous bubble-related episodes, the railroad bubble also has many stories that focus on the stock investments of naive, amateur, and penniless ants.
Some contemporaries claimed that amateur investors who were talking about railroad stocks ended up driving up the stock price, and when the stock price plummeted, they jumped in again in fear, adding fuel to the crash.
However, most of these claims come from satirical journalism and contemporary literature.
According to railroad historians, it was women and clergy who had no experience in stock investment who participated in the investment rather than the poor, and in particular, the middle class and common nouveau riche were the core of individual investors.
For example, literary giants such as Charlotte Brontë and William Makepeace Thackeray, as well as renowned scientists such as Charles Darwin, were involved in railway speculation.
--- From pages 134-137
What role did the media play during the bubble? Newspapers generally had no interest in objectively assessing the market, instead simply reporting the subjective opinions of bankers, traders, and politicians.
A contemporary financial history by a contributor, John Brooks, mockingly described the emergence of "transatlantic ship interviews" in which "mysterious" major bankers or business leaders would travel to Europe on luxury cruises and "reluctantly" offer comments to various financial journalists.
In 1929, the remarks of influential people were so consistently positive that they were nicknamed the "Prosperity Choir."
Instead of reporting the truth while the market was in decline, newspapers continued to publish the overly optimistic words of this prosperity chorus.
--- Pages 232-233
This is the biggest difference between a tech bubble and a political bubble.
Tech bubbles form when huge amounts of money flow into highly innovative sectors of the economy, often with the benefit of society, by allowing companies to obtain financing that otherwise might not have been available.
But in a political bubble, these benefits are absent altogether, and money tends to flow into sectors of the economy that generally do not create many positive externalities.
The various events that occurred in the Japanese bubble vividly illustrate this contrast.
--- From page 278
One of the reasons people turned to speculation during the American boom was their optimistic outlook on future home price increases.61 A 2003 survey of homebuyers in the four largest cities in the United States found that people tended to buy homes with the expectation of future price increases rather than the joy of living in the home.
More than 90 percent of respondents to the survey said they expected home prices to rise at least threefold over the next decade.
This long-term expectation has played a significant role in increasing demand for U.S. housing sales.
Even people who did not want to buy physical real estate could speculate in the housing market through mortgage-backed securities or collateralized debt obligations.
--- From page 339
The New York Times reported that Chinese self-employed workers, housekeepers, farmers, and watermelon sellers have given up their main jobs and become addicted to daily stock trading.
One in ten citizens has jumped into stock trading.
In 2005, 7 percent of Chinese citizens' savings were invested in the stock market, but by the end of 2007, that figure had risen to 30 percent.
However, many investors had an investment philosophy that was somewhat incomprehensible.
It was like picking stocks at random and buying them or buying them because the stock price was a 'lucky number'.
For some, the stock market was a legal way to satisfy their gambling cravings in China, where casinos and gambling were illegal.
--- From page 364
Publisher's Review
“Is it a bubble now or not?”
A great insight that penetrates the flow of wealth and great transformation over 300 years!
"Bubble: The Great Wealth Transformation" now available in Korea!
- How have bubbles influenced the flow of money and wealth?
- Who creates and uses bubbles and why?
- How does a tiny bubble spark turn into a flame and then collapse?
- What is the difference between a company that collapsed in the bubble and a company that won?
- What is the difference between those who profit from the bubble and those who lose both money and fame?
- In an age where we cannot predict even an inch ahead, how can we predict and prepare for the future?
While concerns about a bubble are growing over the stock market and real estate market, which are moving in the opposite direction of the real economy, there are also counterarguments that it is too early to make a judgment call because the market is still rational.
Is it a bubble or not? Interpretations of the current situation may vary depending on one's vested interests, but one thing is clear: countries around the world have poured an incredible amount of money into responding to COVID-19, and the unmanageable debt they incur will ultimately cost someone, someday.
No one knows the future.
However, judging reality rationally is the most reliable shortcut to predicting the future.
Fortunately, we have the shoulders of giants to foresee the future.
Every time there is a social change or issue, the global economy faces a major turning point.
The economic changes brought about by COVID-19 are not unprecedented in history, although their seeds may have taken different forms.
"Bubble: The Great Wealth Transformation" examines how the economy reacts and moves in response to social issues and changes, helping readers assess the current situation.
This book, which offers insights and a new framework for how to interpret, predict, and act in a rapidly changing economic environment, was selected as one of the Financial Times' Book of the Year.
The tectonic shift that changed history
The rise and fall of wealth, desire and chaos unfold at a glance!
"Bubble: The Great Wealth Transformation" examines the bubbles that have shaken history from the first bubble in human history to the present.
We visit the great booms and busts that occurred around the world over 300 years, including Paris, London, Central and South America, New York, Tokyo, Silicon Valley, and Shanghai, and uncover their causes and effects.
We examine who benefited and who suffered in the process, and what roles the powerful, politicians, and the media played.
By following this process, we can understand why markets inflate and burst, and why some bubbles have positive effects while others cause economic, social, and political distress that borders on disaster.
The book begins by identifying the point at which anomalies first spark in the market.
The authors use the analogy of a fire to explain the phenomenon in which an economy grows at high risk and then suddenly bursts into flames.
Because it is tangible, destructive, can exist forever unless someone puts it out, and once it starts, it is difficult to control.
In particular, like fire, bubbles can be effectively explained by utilizing three elements.
Fire can start with a small spark and quickly become a large conflagration if given enough of the three elements of oxygen, heat, and fuel.
And once a fire starts, it can be extinguished by removing any one of these three elements.
The creation and disappearance of bubbles are also similar to fire.
When the three elements of 'speculation, marketability, and credit' have an irrational pattern, a bubble occurs.
The authors call this massive triangular structure that drives the economy the "bubble triangle."
"Bubble: The Great Wealth Transformation" unfolds a captivating narrative spanning 300 years of financial history, using a variety of accessible examples and metaphors.
It's a fascinating insight and chronicle of bubbles: how markets react and move to new technologies or political initiatives, how they inflate and burst, and what social repercussions and consequences they leave behind.
John D., an economist who studies modern economics and finance, received much attention for winning the Wordsworth Prize, awarded for a book that makes a significant contribution to British economic history.
Turner and William Quinn, a prominent economist and influential voice on economic policy, realized that ordinary citizens need to understand the fundamentals of capitalism to avoid financial crises and achieve healthy economic growth, which led them to write the book.
In "Bubble: The Great Wealth Transformation," the authors take readers on a clear and engaging intellectual journey that explores the hidden workings of capitalism and how to address them, crossing the past, present, and future.
The two faces of the bubble, rise or fall!
What will you choose for your economic destiny over the next 10 years?
The book begins with an interesting question.
The question is, “What is the difference between the greatest composer in history, Gerald Handel, and Shane Filan, lead singer of the boy band Westlife?”
Handel is one of the most revered classical composers who composed numerous operas, while Filan is a member of a British boy band.
But there are other differences.
The point is that one of them lost his entire fortune in the bubble, while the other got out before the bubble burst and made a great profit.
The book vividly shows that bubbles have two faces.
Bubbles waste enormous resources and have the destructive power to overturn the global economic landscape.
However, not all bubbles are destructive, and some have positive effects on society.
It also ultimately contributes to future economic growth by fostering innovation and encouraging more people to become entrepreneurs.
The same is true on an individual level.
Once the bubble burst, the media would publish numerous articles about the misfortunes of those who lost money, but there were also many who did not.
Even people who weren't rich made good decisions and made money, and they looked at the plan with a more sober eye.
A look at the vivid history of the bubble's impact and destructive power reveals important lessons for us today.
The point is that we need to be aware of what a bubble could do to our daily lives and what steps we need to take when such a situation arises.
This book reveals why ordinary people are disproportionately affected by bubbles and clearly explains how to prepare for them to avoid being left behind in the midst of a massive upheaval.
“Why, who creates and exploits bubbles?”
Amazing insights to help you navigate the rapidly changing market!
Why do people who have never traded stocks invest huge amounts of money in companies they know little about? Why do they invest a lot of money just because a friend recommended it, or invest a lot of money in companies established in countries they have never visited, and why do people lose precious assets due to investment philosophies they cannot understand? The authors analyze in detail the psychology that turns ordinary people into speculators, the true nature of those in power who encourage speculation, and the media that cleverly exploits investor psychology.
Amazingly, during every single one of the 300-year bubble periods, countless news outlets, newspapers, and television programs, while the market was deteriorating, continued to report overly optimistic statements rather than telling the truth, and reported the subjective comments of bankers, traders, and politicians rather than objectively assessing the situation.
Even advertising information was presented as if it were objective fact.
Many powerful figures also praised the stocks they owned, and even created bubbles by fabricating facts.
The authors warn readers by highlighting the journalists, politicians, and those in power who, while the bubble was growing, tried to participate rather than resolve the situation.
It is also a sharp signal to keep an eye on any moves that encourage bubbles in the name of revitalizing the economy and to judge the market with a clear eye.
So, in this current situation where we cannot predict even an inch ahead, what questions should individual investors, as well as entrepreneurs, the media, and policymakers, ask and what actions should they take? How should we prepare for the enormous powers that create bubbles and their influence? This book is also generous with advice on what to do to predict the future and guard against potential dangers.
The historical events caused by the bubble throughout 300 years of human history, along with the great secrets, ambitions, and surprising stories hidden behind them, pose important questions for us.
We need to understand not only the knowledge and aspects of finance and economics, but also the social, technological, psychological, and political sciences that go beyond that.
To develop an individual mental model for each investor, it is essential to look back on past experiences.
"Bubble: The Great Wealth Transformation" will be a meaningful journey for those of us living in today's world, where great expectations and fears coexist, to help us make the right choices that will determine the fate of the economy and plan for the future.
A great insight that penetrates the flow of wealth and great transformation over 300 years!
"Bubble: The Great Wealth Transformation" now available in Korea!
- How have bubbles influenced the flow of money and wealth?
- Who creates and uses bubbles and why?
- How does a tiny bubble spark turn into a flame and then collapse?
- What is the difference between a company that collapsed in the bubble and a company that won?
- What is the difference between those who profit from the bubble and those who lose both money and fame?
- In an age where we cannot predict even an inch ahead, how can we predict and prepare for the future?
While concerns about a bubble are growing over the stock market and real estate market, which are moving in the opposite direction of the real economy, there are also counterarguments that it is too early to make a judgment call because the market is still rational.
Is it a bubble or not? Interpretations of the current situation may vary depending on one's vested interests, but one thing is clear: countries around the world have poured an incredible amount of money into responding to COVID-19, and the unmanageable debt they incur will ultimately cost someone, someday.
No one knows the future.
However, judging reality rationally is the most reliable shortcut to predicting the future.
Fortunately, we have the shoulders of giants to foresee the future.
Every time there is a social change or issue, the global economy faces a major turning point.
The economic changes brought about by COVID-19 are not unprecedented in history, although their seeds may have taken different forms.
"Bubble: The Great Wealth Transformation" examines how the economy reacts and moves in response to social issues and changes, helping readers assess the current situation.
This book, which offers insights and a new framework for how to interpret, predict, and act in a rapidly changing economic environment, was selected as one of the Financial Times' Book of the Year.
The tectonic shift that changed history
The rise and fall of wealth, desire and chaos unfold at a glance!
"Bubble: The Great Wealth Transformation" examines the bubbles that have shaken history from the first bubble in human history to the present.
We visit the great booms and busts that occurred around the world over 300 years, including Paris, London, Central and South America, New York, Tokyo, Silicon Valley, and Shanghai, and uncover their causes and effects.
We examine who benefited and who suffered in the process, and what roles the powerful, politicians, and the media played.
By following this process, we can understand why markets inflate and burst, and why some bubbles have positive effects while others cause economic, social, and political distress that borders on disaster.
The book begins by identifying the point at which anomalies first spark in the market.
The authors use the analogy of a fire to explain the phenomenon in which an economy grows at high risk and then suddenly bursts into flames.
Because it is tangible, destructive, can exist forever unless someone puts it out, and once it starts, it is difficult to control.
In particular, like fire, bubbles can be effectively explained by utilizing three elements.
Fire can start with a small spark and quickly become a large conflagration if given enough of the three elements of oxygen, heat, and fuel.
And once a fire starts, it can be extinguished by removing any one of these three elements.
The creation and disappearance of bubbles are also similar to fire.
When the three elements of 'speculation, marketability, and credit' have an irrational pattern, a bubble occurs.
The authors call this massive triangular structure that drives the economy the "bubble triangle."
"Bubble: The Great Wealth Transformation" unfolds a captivating narrative spanning 300 years of financial history, using a variety of accessible examples and metaphors.
It's a fascinating insight and chronicle of bubbles: how markets react and move to new technologies or political initiatives, how they inflate and burst, and what social repercussions and consequences they leave behind.
John D., an economist who studies modern economics and finance, received much attention for winning the Wordsworth Prize, awarded for a book that makes a significant contribution to British economic history.
Turner and William Quinn, a prominent economist and influential voice on economic policy, realized that ordinary citizens need to understand the fundamentals of capitalism to avoid financial crises and achieve healthy economic growth, which led them to write the book.
In "Bubble: The Great Wealth Transformation," the authors take readers on a clear and engaging intellectual journey that explores the hidden workings of capitalism and how to address them, crossing the past, present, and future.
The two faces of the bubble, rise or fall!
What will you choose for your economic destiny over the next 10 years?
The book begins with an interesting question.
The question is, “What is the difference between the greatest composer in history, Gerald Handel, and Shane Filan, lead singer of the boy band Westlife?”
Handel is one of the most revered classical composers who composed numerous operas, while Filan is a member of a British boy band.
But there are other differences.
The point is that one of them lost his entire fortune in the bubble, while the other got out before the bubble burst and made a great profit.
The book vividly shows that bubbles have two faces.
Bubbles waste enormous resources and have the destructive power to overturn the global economic landscape.
However, not all bubbles are destructive, and some have positive effects on society.
It also ultimately contributes to future economic growth by fostering innovation and encouraging more people to become entrepreneurs.
The same is true on an individual level.
Once the bubble burst, the media would publish numerous articles about the misfortunes of those who lost money, but there were also many who did not.
Even people who weren't rich made good decisions and made money, and they looked at the plan with a more sober eye.
A look at the vivid history of the bubble's impact and destructive power reveals important lessons for us today.
The point is that we need to be aware of what a bubble could do to our daily lives and what steps we need to take when such a situation arises.
This book reveals why ordinary people are disproportionately affected by bubbles and clearly explains how to prepare for them to avoid being left behind in the midst of a massive upheaval.
“Why, who creates and exploits bubbles?”
Amazing insights to help you navigate the rapidly changing market!
Why do people who have never traded stocks invest huge amounts of money in companies they know little about? Why do they invest a lot of money just because a friend recommended it, or invest a lot of money in companies established in countries they have never visited, and why do people lose precious assets due to investment philosophies they cannot understand? The authors analyze in detail the psychology that turns ordinary people into speculators, the true nature of those in power who encourage speculation, and the media that cleverly exploits investor psychology.
Amazingly, during every single one of the 300-year bubble periods, countless news outlets, newspapers, and television programs, while the market was deteriorating, continued to report overly optimistic statements rather than telling the truth, and reported the subjective comments of bankers, traders, and politicians rather than objectively assessing the situation.
Even advertising information was presented as if it were objective fact.
Many powerful figures also praised the stocks they owned, and even created bubbles by fabricating facts.
The authors warn readers by highlighting the journalists, politicians, and those in power who, while the bubble was growing, tried to participate rather than resolve the situation.
It is also a sharp signal to keep an eye on any moves that encourage bubbles in the name of revitalizing the economy and to judge the market with a clear eye.
So, in this current situation where we cannot predict even an inch ahead, what questions should individual investors, as well as entrepreneurs, the media, and policymakers, ask and what actions should they take? How should we prepare for the enormous powers that create bubbles and their influence? This book is also generous with advice on what to do to predict the future and guard against potential dangers.
The historical events caused by the bubble throughout 300 years of human history, along with the great secrets, ambitions, and surprising stories hidden behind them, pose important questions for us.
We need to understand not only the knowledge and aspects of finance and economics, but also the social, technological, psychological, and political sciences that go beyond that.
To develop an individual mental model for each investor, it is essential to look back on past experiences.
"Bubble: The Great Wealth Transformation" will be a meaningful journey for those of us living in today's world, where great expectations and fears coexist, to help us make the right choices that will determine the fate of the economy and plan for the future.
GOODS SPECIFICS
- Publication date: January 27, 2021
- Page count, weight, size: 452 pages | 638g | 152*215*30mm
- ISBN13: 9791130635293
- ISBN10: 1130635295
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