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10 Minutes of Logic Practice a Day for Better Decisions
10 Minutes of Logic Practice a Day for Better Decisions
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Book Introduction
250,000 copies sold! Developed 20,000 business leaders.
A special brain training lecture by a popular lecturer from a major corporation!

In the AI ​​era, arm yourself with mathematical thinking and logical thinking!
10-Minute Logic Exercise: Easy and Fun to Start with Fermi Estimation

Today, we trust machines more than people for standardized tasks or calculations, and artificial intelligence is gradually replacing human intellectual activity.
What competitive edge do humans need in this situation? It's the ability to think intuitively and to define and solve problems on their own.
The ability to quickly utilize limited information to formulate hypotheses about the future, back them up with logical numbers, and make better decisions is a powerful weapon for us living in uncertain times.
The Fermi estimate introduced in this book is a logical estimate or approximation of a number that is difficult to find data for or accurately determine using only one's own knowledge or given assumptions.
Let's develop our thinking skills through Fermi estimates so that we can make the best decisions without panicking even in situations where there are no definitive answers.
"10 Minutes of Logic Practice a Day for Better Decisions" is a book for beginners in Fermi Estimation that develops the ability to define and solve problems by combining intuition and logic.


This book covers Fermi estimation, which uses reasonable assumptions to derive numerical values ​​based on uncertain information.
It suggests a way to simplify and logically approach complex problems using three-step thinking techniques: 'hypothesis', 'decomposition', and 'comparison', and is structured to allow for easy and fun training of thinking skills.
For example, anyone can improve their mathematical thinking and logical thinking skills in everyday life through examples that anyone can easily challenge, such as, "How many people from all over the country brought rice balls as lunch boxes today?" or "How long will it take to line up in the line right now?"
The purpose of Fermi estimation is not to simply produce the correct answer like a machine.
It trains the thinking process that leads to solutions, making abstract concepts concrete or enhancing problem-solving skills in countless situations where decisions must be made with insufficient data.
Fermi's estimation method, which helps people make optimal decisions in the face of uncertain problems, will provide a practical guide for anyone seeking to improve their logical thinking, including professionals and students.
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index
Entering, a salesperson's words

Part 1 Why Fermi Estimation Now?

01 The type of professional talent needed in the new era
02 The era of creating your own career
03 What can humans do in the AI ​​era?
04 Fermi Estimation: A Smarter Way of Thinking
05 Finding Answers to Questions Without Answers
06 People must be quantified in a humane manner.
07 Let's quantify ambiguous problems.
08 You must be able to think logically to solve problems.
09 The thought process is important in Fermi estimation.
10 Important assumptions, decompositions, and comparisons in the Fermi estimation
About the Fermi Column Estimation

Part 2 Home Training

11 How old is the person in charge of the first business meeting?
12 First, let's learn how to think as a family.
13 Let's convert intuition or subjectivity into numbers.
14 How to come up with a number that everyone agrees on?
15 Practice Problem Challenges to Help You Understand
Home Exercise: Converting Ambiguous State to Number
Home Practice Hints

Part 3 Decomposition Training

16 Let's break down the object into smaller pieces.
17 Let's divide the object using the four basic operations.
18 Let's create a decomposition brain that finds the cause of failure.
19 Let's make decomposition a habit.
Decomposition Exercise: Thinking, "What is that made of?"
Disassembly practice hints

Part 4 Comparative Training

20. You need a standard to compare.
21 You must be able to determine the comparison target.
22 Developing a sense of automatically quantifying comparison targets ①
23 Developing a sense of automatically quantifying comparison targets ②
24 What is the size of China's mask market?
Comparison Exercise: Identifying and Quantifying Comparison Objects
Comparison Practice Hints

Part 5 Comprehensive Training

Level 1
① How many people would it take to drink all the water from Lake Biwa in one day?
② If there was an open-air bath the size of Lake Biwa, how many people could fit in it?
③ How many trains run on the JR Yamanote Line at the same time?
Level 2
④ Sales must be made to major corporations in Tokyo.
How many people would it take to visit all the companies in three months?
⑤ What is the size of shoe sales in the Japanese running shoe market?
⑥ How many people do yoga in Japan?
Level 3
⑦ What is the daily sales of a curry restaurant in Tokyo?
⑧ How many managers are there in Japan?
⑨ How many stations are there in Japan?
Level 4
⑩ How many disposable masks are used per day in Japan?
⑪ How many Japanese people are on Instagram?
⑫ What is the annual rice consumption per Japanese person?
Level 5
⑬ How many domestic flights are currently flying over Japan?
⑭ How many people board domestic flights in Japan in a year?
⑮ How many traffic signals are there in Japan?
Data that is good to use as a column premise

Part 6: Mathematical Thinking for People Living in Uncertain Times

01 Mathematical thinking, not mathematics
02 What is mathematical thinking?
03 Understand the five concepts
04 Definition is to determine the scope of the object.
05 Change the definition and everything changes.
06 If you break it down into details, it starts to show
07 Let's do some decomposition training
08 You can also compare qualitative things.
Let's compare by converting to numbers 09
10 The object has a structure (texture).
Let's think about structuring examples 11.
12 Modeling is finding relationships between multiple objects.
13 Let's answer the questions using five concepts.

Going out

Detailed image
Detailed Image 1

Into the book
To put it in simple terms that even children can understand, AI is a 'very good calculator.'
Let's take this excellent calculator and turn it into something much more user-friendly.
It's the computer right on your desk.
This is an electronic calculator.
This calculator displays accurate calculation results in an instant when you input specific numbers and give instructions for calculation.
The important point here is that 'if a human doesn't input specific numbers, the calculator is just an object.'
Therefore, a future where jobs are taken away by AI will not come. Even in an era where AI is active, humans should continue to do the work they can do today.
The keyword needed at this time is Fermi estimation.
--- p.23, from 「Part 1 03 What can humans do in the AI ​​era?」

Accurate calculations can be done by a calculator, spreadsheet, or AI.
The computational skills we had to develop as children were those performed by electronic calculators, spreadsheets, and AI.
But the computational power we will need in the future is different.
Simply put, it is the ability to create numerical answers to problems that do not have correct answers by using the four basic arithmetic operations.
It's okay even for people who are allergic to numbers or have difficulty with math.
Anyone can do Fermi estimates.
--- p.27, from 「Part 1 05 Let's find answers to questions that have no correct answers」

There is a big difference between leaving such an 'ambiguous problem' ignorant or using the power of thought to grasp the general state of affairs.
Anyone who can determine "roughly how much?" can roughly estimate the number of domestic and international consumers and market size of a product before starting a business.
Then, you can also plan your product strategy in detail.
Then, it will become easier to find solutions to problems that ‘cannot be strategized.’
If you become proficient at Fermi estimation like this, you will become a smart person, that is, a good problem solver.
--- p.32, from 「Part 1 08 You must be able to think roughly to solve problems」

For example, when a precision machine malfunctions, it is usually because a small part somewhere has broken.
If a problem like an airplane accident occurs and the wing or engine is investigated, the cause is found by examining even a single screw.
If you look closely at engine problems, you'll often find that they're caused by small components.
In other words, to fix a broken part, you have to check every detail.
Likewise, when decomposing an object, it must be divided into as many smaller pieces as possible.
The more you break it down into smaller pieces, the more you can discover facts you didn't know before.
--- p.69, from “Part 3 18 Let’s break down the object into smaller pieces and think about it”

To structure well, it is great training to think of examples such as 'A is the same as B' even on a regular basis.
It's perfect to do when you have some free time or on the subway during your commute.
There is no need to think too hard about it, and it is important to enjoy it with your senses like a game.
For example, if you think about the business model of a pub, it is structured so that customers order more alcohol, which has a high cost ratio, than food to make a profit.
The reason why you can eat cold tofu or chicken skewers cheaply is because you need to make a profit from the mainstream.
--- p.180, from “Part 6 11 Let’s think about structuring examples”

Publisher's Review
A powerful weapon required by the new era
An Introduction to Fermi Estimation: Developing Rational Thinking Skills


Google's recruitment interviews, a global company, are famous not only for their difficulty but also for their unique questions.
For example, questions like “How many piano tuners are there in the world?”
What's the purpose of asking questions like these, to which even interviewers can't pinpoint the exact answer? It's to assess your attitude toward the question and your critical thinking and logical thinking skills in finding the answer.
Most of the world's problems we face, whether in daily life or in business, often have no set answers.
In an age where many things are uncertain and machines are overwhelmingly superior at simple calculations, the real competitive edge that humans must possess is the ability to think intuitively and to define and solve problems on their own.
"10 Minutes of Logic Practice a Day for Better Decisions" suggests "Fermi Estimation" as a brain training method to improve such abilities.
Fermi estimation, which quickly utilizes limited information to form hypotheses and derives conclusions based on logical reasoning, will help us make better decisions in the numerous problems before us.


The Fermi estimate introduced in this book is a method of applying reasonable assumptions and logic to difficult-to-understand problems to produce an 'estimate' in a short period of time.
It can be said to be a mathematical process of logically inferring unclear numbers based on basic knowledge and limited data and obtaining approximate values ​​in a short period of time.
Fermi estimates allow us to make useful inferences from simple common sense in a short period of time.
This book is written in an easy-to-understand and fun way, especially for beginners who are new to Fermi estimation. It also includes examples, which will be of great help in solidifying the fundamentals of logic.
The book also provides an interesting and informative introduction to how easily Fermi estimation thinking can be applied in our daily lives, making it a valuable guide for those who wish to improve their mathematical thinking and logical thinking skills in their daily lives or work.
After mastering the Fermi estimation through this book, you will gain the ability to make the best decisions without panicking even in situations where there is no definitive answer.


Smart people think and speak like this!
3 Ways of Thinking That Make Difficult Problems Simple


Skillfully utilizing Fermi estimates can help you solve problems more calmly and wisely than you can now.
A systematic approach will improve your logical thinking, quick decision-making, abstract thinking, and even communication skills.
It is also useful in situations such as calculating the ripple effect that an event will have on the economy, selecting talent, or deciding which option is more advantageous.
Unlike simple memorization or calculation, Fermi estimation emphasizes the thought process that goes into arriving at an answer.
This book helps you express ambiguous things in numbers by learning three important thinking skills: 'assumption', 'decomposition', and 'comparison', and helping you solve real-world problems.
This is a training program that trains the brain to find solutions to difficult problems by effectively utilizing three different thinking methods.

There are three important ways of thinking about Fermi estimation:
'Assumption' is the step of converting information that is difficult to handle quantitatively, such as intuition, subjectivity, or an appropriate level that many people can agree on, into numbers.
Next is 'decomposition'.
It is about dividing the target into time zones or elements.
This step teaches you how to break the whole down into smaller parts so you can identify the problematic elements or key variables, and how to make this way of thinking a habit.
The third step explains ‘comparison’.
It is about learning how to create benchmarks, select comparison targets, and automatically quantify comparison targets.
To give an everyday example, you can compare your weight to the average weight of people of the same gender or age, or to your weight from a year ago, to estimate whether you are overweight.
By practicing how to build logic based on mathematical thinking through fun examples like this, you'll gain the ability to find the best solution to any problem without getting flustered.

Brain training recommended by consultants from major corporations and prestigious universities
The foundation of logical thinking that a capable member of society must possess


This book teaches you how to quantify data in a way that only humans, not machines, can do.
That is, it solves problems that do not have a set answer by quantifying information that is difficult to quantify.
For example, someone who knows how to use the Fermi estimate could give a numerical answer to the question, "Approximately how much profit did you contribute to the company in one year of work?"
There is a big difference in competitiveness between those who can answer their own value in numbers and those who cannot.
Fermi estimates are particularly helpful when working in business environments where data is scarce and uncertainty is high.


"10 Minutes of Logic Practice a Day for Better Decisions" is a book by a business mathematics expert who has taught logic to over 20,000 office workers. It guides you through a brain training method based on Fermi estimates that has been adopted by many companies.
Simply learning the Fermi estimation, the core content of this book, will improve your logical and intuitive skills, making you a smarter person and equipping you with more sophisticated problem-solving skills. This is very useful for office workers who want to seize opportunities for growth at work.
The author has lowered the barrier to entry by providing familiar and sufficient examples so that even beginners can easily get started.
In Part 1, we will define Fermi estimation, in Parts 2 through 4, we will learn the three most important elements for developing Fermi estimation skills, in Part 5, we will solve real problems by level, and in the final Part 6, we will talk about the power of mathematical thinking.
Fermi's method of reasoning, which helps people make optimal decisions in the face of uncertainty, will provide a practical guide for anyone seeking to improve their logical thinking.
GOODS SPECIFICS
- Date of issue: November 19, 2024
- Page count, weight, size: 188 pages | 152*225*20mm
- ISBN13: 9791193217795
- ISBN10: 1193217792

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